Vermont's at-large House district has elected only Democrats since 1990, a structural advantage reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected by more than 30 points in 2024, announced her reelection bid in May 2026 and faces no significant primary opposition. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack statewide name recognition or fundraising comparable to Balint's, consistent with the party's historical weakness in the state. Cook Political Report classifies the race as safely Democratic. Potential shifts in odds would require an unforeseen development such as Balint's withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,744 Vol.
94%
共和党
$6,359 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House district has elected only Democrats since 1990, a structural advantage reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected by more than 30 points in 2024, announced her reelection bid in May 2026 and faces no significant primary opposition. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack statewide name recognition or fundraising comparable to Balint's, consistent with the party's historical weakness in the state. Cook Political Report classifies the race as safely Democratic. Potential shifts in odds would require an unforeseen development such as Balint's withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$13,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont's at-large House district has elected only Democrats since 1990, a structural advantage reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected by more than 30 points in 2024, announced her reelection bid in May 2026 and faces no significant primary opposition. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack statewide name recognition or fundraising comparable to Balint's, consistent with the party's historical weakness in the state. Cook Political Report classifies the race as safely Democratic. Potential shifts in odds would require an unforeseen development such as Balint's withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont's at-large House district has elected only Democrats since 1990, a structural advantage reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Becca Balint, first elected in 2022 and reelected by more than 30 points in 2024, announced her reelection bid in May 2026 and faces no significant primary opposition. Republican primary candidates Mark Coester and Gerald Malloy lack statewide name recognition or fundraising comparable to Balint's, consistent with the party's historical weakness in the state. Cook Political Report classifies the race as safely Democratic. Potential shifts in odds would require an unforeseen development such as Balint's withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong Republican national environment that overcomes the district's partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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