Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected only Democrats since 1990, reflecting a consistent partisan lean that shapes trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term, won 62.3 percent in 2024, and the seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3, 2026, no competitive Republican has emerged with comparable resources or visibility. Republican candidates face structural barriers in fundraising and name recognition that limit any realistic path to victory. Late developments such as an unforeseen primary upset or major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited impact on the final outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$13,103 Vol.
$13,103 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,744 Vol.
94%
共和党
$6,359 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected only Democrats since 1990, reflecting a consistent partisan lean that shapes trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term, won 62.3 percent in 2024, and the seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3, 2026, no competitive Republican has emerged with comparable resources or visibility. Republican candidates face structural barriers in fundraising and name recognition that limit any realistic path to victory. Late developments such as an unforeseen primary upset or major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited impact on the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$13,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected only Democrats since 1990, reflecting a consistent partisan lean that shapes trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term, won 62.3 percent in 2024, and the seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3, 2026, no competitive Republican has emerged with comparable resources or visibility. Republican candidates face structural barriers in fundraising and name recognition that limit any realistic path to victory. Late developments such as an unforeseen primary upset or major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited impact on the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,103終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vermont’s at-large congressional district has elected only Democrats since 1990, reflecting a consistent partisan lean that shapes trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Becca Balint, seeking a third term, won 62.3 percent in 2024, and the seat carries a strongly Democratic partisan voting index. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3, 2026, no competitive Republican has emerged with comparable resources or visibility. Republican candidates face structural barriers in fundraising and name recognition that limit any realistic path to victory. Late developments such as an unforeseen primary upset or major scandal involving the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited impact on the final outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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