Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Megan Wingfield in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Guthrie's 73% margin in 2024, combined with the district's partisan composition across western and central Kentucky counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies since have reinforced expectations of continuity. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial shifts in national economic conditions, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability ahead of Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,217 Vol.
94%
民主党
$3,681 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Megan Wingfield in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Guthrie's 73% margin in 2024, combined with the district's partisan composition across western and central Kentucky counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies since have reinforced expectations of continuity. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial shifts in national economic conditions, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$5,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Megan Wingfield in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Guthrie's 73% margin in 2024, combined with the district's partisan composition across western and central Kentucky counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies since have reinforced expectations of continuity. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial shifts in national economic conditions, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured the party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote and enters the November general election against Democrat Megan Wingfield in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Guthrie's 73% margin in 2024, combined with the district's partisan composition across western and central Kentucky counties, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Primary results and the absence of competitive challengers or notable controversies since have reinforced expectations of continuity. Factors that could narrow the margin include substantial shifts in national economic conditions, unusually elevated Democratic turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability ahead of Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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