The Ohio 9th congressional district race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur against Republican nominee Derek Merrin, who won his party's May 2026 primary. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward a modest Republican lean after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, producing toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from forecasters. Limited polling shows a tight contest with small Republican edges in some surveys. Trader pricing reflects Kaptur's established name recognition and fundraising base counterbalancing the map changes, keeping the Democratic Party outcome narrowly ahead of the Republican Party in current consensus. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,519 Vol.
$20,519 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
60%
共和党
47%
$20,519 Vol.
$20,519 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$440 Vol.
60%
共和党
$20,079 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Ohio 9th congressional district race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur against Republican nominee Derek Merrin, who won his party's May 2026 primary. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward a modest Republican lean after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, producing toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from forecasters. Limited polling shows a tight contest with small Republican edges in some surveys. Trader pricing reflects Kaptur's established name recognition and fundraising base counterbalancing the map changes, keeping the Democratic Party outcome narrowly ahead of the Republican Party in current consensus. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$20,519終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Ohio 9th congressional district race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur against Republican nominee Derek Merrin, who won his party's May 2026 primary. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward a modest Republican lean after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, producing toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from forecasters. Limited polling shows a tight contest with small Republican edges in some surveys. Trader pricing reflects Kaptur's established name recognition and fundraising base counterbalancing the map changes, keeping the Democratic Party outcome narrowly ahead of the Republican Party in current consensus. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,519終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Ohio 9th congressional district race pits longtime Democratic incumbent Marcy Kaptur against Republican nominee Derek Merrin, who won his party's May 2026 primary. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the district toward a modest Republican lean after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, producing toss-up or lean-Republican ratings from forecasters. Limited polling shows a tight contest with small Republican edges in some surveys. Trader pricing reflects Kaptur's established name recognition and fundraising base counterbalancing the map changes, keeping the Democratic Party outcome narrowly ahead of the Republican Party in current consensus. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from campaign developments or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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