Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,255 Vol.
$40,255 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・イゼル（共和党）
97%
ジェフリー・ヒュラム3世（民主党）
3%
$40,255 Vol.
$40,255 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・イゼル（共和党）
$25,175 Vol.
97%
ジェフリー・ヒュラム3世（民主党）
$15,080 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$40,255終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,255終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the MS-04 nomination after winning his March 2026 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger. The Gulf Coast district, encompassing areas such as Gulfport, Biloxi, and Hattiesburg, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell maintains substantial campaign resources and institutional support heading into the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III, a state representative and retired Army veteran who prevailed in his own primary. Forecasters cite the district’s partisan composition and Ezell’s incumbency as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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