Republican incumbent Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Sawyer Walters, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from his primary to face Ezell and independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Ezell's prior 73.9% general election performance and its Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the partisan composition, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure as the primary factors shaping current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,880 Vol.
$23,880 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
80%
民主党
4%
$23,880 Vol.
$23,880 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,542 Vol.
80%
民主党
$14,338 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Sawyer Walters, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from his primary to face Ezell and independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Ezell's prior 73.9% general election performance and its Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the partisan composition, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure as the primary factors shaping current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$23,880終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Sawyer Walters, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from his primary to face Ezell and independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Ezell's prior 73.9% general election performance and its Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the partisan composition, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure as the primary factors shaping current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,880終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Sawyer Walters, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from his primary to face Ezell and independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Ezell's prior 73.9% general election performance and its Solid Republican rating, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks, leaving the partisan composition, incumbency, and limited Democratic infrastructure as the primary factors shaping current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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