Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,829 Vol.
$24,829 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$24,829 Vol.
$24,829 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,225 Vol.
93%
共和党
$11,605 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$24,829終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,829終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy faces Republican Dennis Hannon in New York's 26th congressional district, centered on the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. The race carries a Solid Democratic rating from nonpartisan analysts and a D+11 partisan voting index, consistent with Kennedy's 65% margin in 2024. No significant primary opposition has emerged ahead of the June 23 contests, leaving the general election matchup largely uncontested on the Republican side. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural Democratic advantage, recent electoral history, and limited signs of a national shift capable of overcoming the baseline partisan lean. Potential challengers to the frontrunner position would require major developments such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout in this urban-leaning seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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