Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, his 2024 special election victory by double digits, and strong fundraising that has outpaced the Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of a contested primary for either candidate and limited evidence of shifting voter sentiment. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include significant late-cycle developments such as a national partisan wave, unexpected scandals affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Erie and Niagara counties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,696 Vol.
$34,696 Vol.
2026/11/03
ティム・ケネディ（民主党）
96%
デニス・ハノン（共和党）
3%
$34,696 Vol.
$34,696 Vol.
2026/11/03
ティム・ケネディ（民主党）
$22,493 Vol.
96%
デニス・ハノン（共和党）
$12,203 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, his 2024 special election victory by double digits, and strong fundraising that has outpaced the Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of a contested primary for either candidate and limited evidence of shifting voter sentiment. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include significant late-cycle developments such as a national partisan wave, unexpected scandals affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Erie and Niagara counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$34,696終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, his 2024 special election victory by double digits, and strong fundraising that has outpaced the Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of a contested primary for either candidate and limited evidence of shifting voter sentiment. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include significant late-cycle developments such as a national partisan wave, unexpected scandals affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Erie and Niagara counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,696終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 general election due to the district's consistent Democratic lean in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, his 2024 special election victory by double digits, and strong fundraising that has outpaced the Republican challenger. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of a contested primary for either candidate and limited evidence of shifting voter sentiment. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include significant late-cycle developments such as a national partisan wave, unexpected scandals affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in Erie and Niagara counties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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