Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York's 26th congressional district, centered in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, after winning re-election with 65 percent in 2024. The district's urban and suburban voter base in Erie and western Niagara counties has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by Kennedy's unopposed Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Democratic by multiple analysts. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, including fundraising edges and limited recent polling movement. A realistic shift could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving Kennedy, or an unanticipated national political wave altering the November general election environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,829 Vol.
$24,829 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
10%
$24,829 Vol.
$24,829 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,225 Vol.
92%
共和党
$11,605 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York's 26th congressional district, centered in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, after winning re-election with 65 percent in 2024. The district's urban and suburban voter base in Erie and western Niagara counties has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by Kennedy's unopposed Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Democratic by multiple analysts. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, including fundraising edges and limited recent polling movement. A realistic shift could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving Kennedy, or an unanticipated national political wave altering the November general election environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$24,829終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York's 26th congressional district, centered in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, after winning re-election with 65 percent in 2024. The district's urban and suburban voter base in Erie and western Niagara counties has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by Kennedy's unopposed Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Democratic by multiple analysts. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, including fundraising edges and limited recent polling movement. A realistic shift could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving Kennedy, or an unanticipated national political wave altering the November general election environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,829終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in New York's 26th congressional district, centered in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area, after winning re-election with 65 percent in 2024. The district's urban and suburban voter base in Erie and western Niagara counties has consistently favored Democratic candidates, reinforced by Kennedy's unopposed Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 vote. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Democratic by multiple analysts. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for Democrats reflects these fundamentals, including fundraising edges and limited recent polling movement. A realistic shift could stem from unusually low Democratic turnout, a major scandal involving Kennedy, or an unanticipated national political wave altering the November general election environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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