TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
78%
共和党
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$0 Vol.
78%
共和党
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-18 remains a reliably Democratic Houston-area seat following redistricting that folded much of the former 9th district into the new boundaries. Christian Menefee, who won the January 2026 special election runoff to fill the vacancy left by Sylvester Turner’s death, faces longtime incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff; recent University of Houston and Lake Research Partners polling shows Menefee ahead by double digits. The Democratic nominee is expected to face only token Republican opposition in the November general election, consistent with the district’s strong partisan lean and voting history. Traders price this outcome at 78.5 percent for Democrats, reflecting these structural and electoral fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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