New York's 18th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored the party in recent cycles. With the general election still months away in November 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability reflecting the district's structural makeup, limited Republican infrastructure in the area, and typical midterm turnout patterns. No major candidate announcements, primary upsets, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in the past month. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected Democratic scandal, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such reversals in similar districts remain low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,705 Vol.
$34,705 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
90%
共和党
10%
$34,705 Vol.
$34,705 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$32,682 Vol.
90%
共和党
$2,023 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 18th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored the party in recent cycles. With the general election still months away in November 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability reflecting the district's structural makeup, limited Republican infrastructure in the area, and typical midterm turnout patterns. No major candidate announcements, primary upsets, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in the past month. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected Democratic scandal, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such reversals in similar districts remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
音量
$34,705終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York's 18th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored the party in recent cycles. With the general election still months away in November 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability reflecting the district's structural makeup, limited Republican infrastructure in the area, and typical midterm turnout patterns. No major candidate announcements, primary upsets, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in the past month. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected Democratic scandal, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such reversals in similar districts remain low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,705終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York's 18th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored the party in recent cycles. With the general election still months away in November 2026, traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability reflecting the district's structural makeup, limited Republican infrastructure in the area, and typical midterm turnout patterns. No major candidate announcements, primary upsets, or polling shifts have altered this positioning in the past month. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected Democratic scandal, or unusually strong GOP recruit could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for such reversals in similar districts remain low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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