Recent Supreme Court rulings, notably Louisiana v. Callais in April 2026, have clarified limits on racial considerations under the Voting Rights Act and influenced multiple map challenges, enabling several states to implement or reinstate new congressional districts for the November 2026 midterms. As of early August 2026, Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah have adopted or received court approval for revised maps through legislative action, ballot measures, or litigation resolutions, often shifting partisan balance. Ongoing primary schedules, including Alabama’s August 11 contests, and any residual state or federal court proceedings could still alter implementation before Election Day. Trader assessments center on the finality of these legal and procedural outcomes across battleground and Republican-led states.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$380,354 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
97%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
3%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$380,354 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
97%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
3%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Supreme Court rulings, notably Louisiana v. Callais in April 2026, have clarified limits on racial considerations under the Voting Rights Act and influenced multiple map challenges, enabling several states to implement or reinstate new congressional districts for the November 2026 midterms. As of early August 2026, Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah have adopted or received court approval for revised maps through legislative action, ballot measures, or litigation resolutions, often shifting partisan balance. Ongoing primary schedules, including Alabama’s August 11 contests, and any residual state or federal court proceedings could still alter implementation before Election Day. Trader assessments center on the finality of these legal and procedural outcomes across battleground and Republican-led states.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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