Virginia’s current congressional districts, drawn after the 2020 census and in place since 2022, are expected to remain unchanged for the 2026 midterms. The Democratic-led General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and conditional map in early 2026 that would have shifted the 6-5 partisan balance toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the referendum in May 2026 on procedural grounds. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed the existing lines would govern the November elections after the state’s map deadline passed. With the amendment overturned and no alternative process active, traders assign overwhelming probability against a new map. A U.S. Supreme Court reversal of the state ruling before ballots are finalized remains the narrowest theoretical path to change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$69,563 Vol.
$69,563 Vol.
2026/11/03
はい
$69,563 Vol.
$69,563 Vol.
2026/11/03
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s current congressional districts, drawn after the 2020 census and in place since 2022, are expected to remain unchanged for the 2026 midterms. The Democratic-led General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and conditional map in early 2026 that would have shifted the 6-5 partisan balance toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the referendum in May 2026 on procedural grounds. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed the existing lines would govern the November elections after the state’s map deadline passed. With the amendment overturned and no alternative process active, traders assign overwhelming probability against a new map. A U.S. Supreme Court reversal of the state ruling before ballots are finalized remains the narrowest theoretical path to change.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
音量
$69,563終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s current congressional districts, drawn after the 2020 census and in place since 2022, are expected to remain unchanged for the 2026 midterms. The Democratic-led General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and conditional map in early 2026 that would have shifted the 6-5 partisan balance toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the referendum in May 2026 on procedural grounds. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed the existing lines would govern the November elections after the state’s map deadline passed. With the amendment overturned and no alternative process active, traders assign overwhelming probability against a new map. A U.S. Supreme Court reversal of the state ruling before ballots are finalized remains the narrowest theoretical path to change.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$69,563終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia’s current congressional districts, drawn after the 2020 census and in place since 2022, are expected to remain unchanged for the 2026 midterms. The Democratic-led General Assembly advanced a constitutional amendment and conditional map in early 2026 that would have shifted the 6-5 partisan balance toward a 10-1 Democratic advantage, but the Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the referendum in May 2026 on procedural grounds. Governor Abigail Spanberger confirmed the existing lines would govern the November elections after the state’s map deadline passed. With the amendment overturned and no alternative process active, traders assign overwhelming probability against a new map. A U.S. Supreme Court reversal of the state ruling before ballots are finalized remains the narrowest theoretical path to change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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