The Michigan Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow polling edge over Mike Rogers after his August primary victory, which keeps Genesee County outcomes closely matched. The county's Democratic-leaning electorate in areas like Flint provides El-Sayed an advantage, yet statewide factors including voter turnout among independents, suburban shifts, and the open seat dynamic limit separation in trader pricing. Recent polls show margins within the margin of error, reflecting balanced support on issues like healthcare and economic conditions. Late-cycle developments such as debates, advertising intensity, or turnout mobilization in key precincts could widen the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
46%
アブドル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
53%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
$30 Vol.
46%
アブドル・エル＝サイード（民主党）
$122 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.The Michigan Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow polling edge over Mike Rogers after his August primary victory, which keeps Genesee County outcomes closely matched. The county's Democratic-leaning electorate in areas like Flint provides El-Sayed an advantage, yet statewide factors including voter turnout among independents, suburban shifts, and the open seat dynamic limit separation in trader pricing. Recent polls show margins within the margin of error, reflecting balanced support on issues like healthcare and economic conditions. Late-cycle developments such as debates, advertising intensity, or turnout mobilization in key precincts could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
音量
$152終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.The Michigan Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow polling edge over Mike Rogers after his August primary victory, which keeps Genesee County outcomes closely matched. The county's Democratic-leaning electorate in areas like Flint provides El-Sayed an advantage, yet statewide factors including voter turnout among independents, suburban shifts, and the open seat dynamic limit separation in trader pricing. Recent polls show margins within the margin of error, reflecting balanced support on issues like healthcare and economic conditions. Late-cycle developments such as debates, advertising intensity, or turnout mobilization in key precincts could widen the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
音量
$152終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Michigan Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow polling edge over Mike Rogers after his August primary victory, which keeps Genesee County outcomes closely matched. The county's Democratic-leaning electorate in areas like Flint provides El-Sayed an advantage, yet statewide factors including voter turnout among independents, suburban shifts, and the open seat dynamic limit separation in trader pricing. Recent polls show margins within the margin of error, reflecting balanced support on issues like healthcare and economic conditions. Late-cycle developments such as debates, advertising intensity, or turnout mobilization in key precincts could widen the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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