Aaron Ford holds a commanding 91% implied probability of carrying Clark County in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, reflecting the county's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and Ford's strong primary performance there as the sitting attorney general. Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo, a former Clark County sheriff, trails at 9.5% amid a closely contested statewide race rated as a toss-up by multiple forecasters, with recent July polling showing the candidates nearly even or with Lombardo holding a modest edge overall. Key drivers include Ford's name recognition in the Las Vegas metro area, Democratic voter concentration, and campaign focus on affordability issues. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among independents, economic messaging, or national political tailwinds could still narrow the gap in this population-heavy county before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
アーロン・フォード(民主党)
91%

ジョー・ロンバード(共和党)
10%

アーロン・フォード(民主党)
91%

ジョー・ロンバード(共和党)
10%
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Clark County.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Ford holds a commanding 91% implied probability of carrying Clark County in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, reflecting the county's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests and Ford's strong primary performance there as the sitting attorney general. Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo, a former Clark County sheriff, trails at 9.5% amid a closely contested statewide race rated as a toss-up by multiple forecasters, with recent July polling showing the candidates nearly even or with Lombardo holding a modest edge overall. Key drivers include Ford's name recognition in the Las Vegas metro area, Democratic voter concentration, and campaign focus on affordability issues. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among independents, economic messaging, or national political tailwinds could still narrow the gap in this population-heavy county before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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