Kris Kobach holds a 61% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term against Democrat Chris Mann in the November 3, 2026 general election, a rematch of their 2022 contest that Kobach won by 1.6 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in August 4 primaries. Recent campaign finance reports show Mann raising substantially more early funds than Kobach, while national groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations have committed significant outside spending. Sabato’s Crystal Ball recently shifted its rating from likely Republican to lean Republican amid broader midterm dynamics. These factors explain the market’s positioning of Kobach as the leader while keeping the outcome competitive rather than decisive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
クリス・コバック（共和党）
60%
クリス・マン（民主党）
37%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
クリス・コバック（共和党）
$18 Vol.
60%
クリス・マン（民主党）
$0 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Kobach holds a 61% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term against Democrat Chris Mann in the November 3, 2026 general election, a rematch of their 2022 contest that Kobach won by 1.6 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in August 4 primaries. Recent campaign finance reports show Mann raising substantially more early funds than Kobach, while national groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations have committed significant outside spending. Sabato’s Crystal Ball recently shifted its rating from likely Republican to lean Republican amid broader midterm dynamics. These factors explain the market’s positioning of Kobach as the leader while keeping the outcome competitive rather than decisive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
音量
$18終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Kobach holds a 61% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term against Democrat Chris Mann in the November 3, 2026 general election, a rematch of their 2022 contest that Kobach won by 1.6 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in August 4 primaries. Recent campaign finance reports show Mann raising substantially more early funds than Kobach, while national groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations have committed significant outside spending. Sabato’s Crystal Ball recently shifted its rating from likely Republican to lean Republican amid broader midterm dynamics. These factors explain the market’s positioning of Kobach as the leader while keeping the outcome competitive rather than decisive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$18終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:46 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Kris Kobach holds a 61% implied probability as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term against Democrat Chris Mann in the November 3, 2026 general election, a rematch of their 2022 contest that Kobach won by 1.6 points. Both candidates advanced unopposed in August 4 primaries. Recent campaign finance reports show Mann raising substantially more early funds than Kobach, while national groups including the Republican and Democratic Attorneys General Associations have committed significant outside spending. Sabato’s Crystal Ball recently shifted its rating from likely Republican to lean Republican amid broader midterm dynamics. These factors explain the market’s positioning of Kobach as the leader while keeping the outcome competitive rather than decisive.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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