Recent polls, including a Stetson University survey showing Ashley Moody leading Alex Vindman 49%-42%, have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at 82.5% in Florida's U.S. Senate special election to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for Secretary of State. Moody, appointed interim senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis, benefits from the GOP's voter registration edge and Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles, where Republicans have dominated Senate races. Despite Democratic fundraising and a competitive primary field, no major shifts have emerged in the past week, with upcoming August primaries poised to shape nominees amid national Senate control stakes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,320 Vol.
$36,320 Vol.
共和党
83%
民主党
17%
$36,320 Vol.
$36,320 Vol.
共和党
$19,175 Vol.
83%
民主党
$17,144 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including a Stetson University survey showing Ashley Moody leading Alex Vindman 49%-42%, have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at 82.5% in Florida's U.S. Senate special election to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for Secretary of State. Moody, appointed interim senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis, benefits from the GOP's voter registration edge and Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles, where Republicans have dominated Senate races. Despite Democratic fundraising and a competitive primary field, no major shifts have emerged in the past week, with upcoming August primaries poised to shape nominees amid national Senate control stakes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
音量
$36,320マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls, including a Stetson University survey showing Ashley Moody leading Alex Vindman 49%-42%, have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at 82.5% in Florida's U.S. Senate special election to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for Secretary of State. Moody, appointed interim senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis, benefits from the GOP's voter registration edge and Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles, where Republicans have dominated Senate races. Despite Democratic fundraising and a competitive primary field, no major shifts have emerged in the past week, with upcoming August primaries poised to shape nominees amid national Senate control stakes.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$36,320マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls, including a Stetson University survey showing Ashley Moody leading Alex Vindman 49%-42%, have solidified trader consensus favoring a Republican hold at 82.5% in Florida's U.S. Senate special election to complete Marco Rubio's term after his resignation for Secretary of State. Moody, appointed interim senator by Gov. Ron DeSantis, benefits from the GOP's voter registration edge and Florida's rightward shift in recent cycles, where Republicans have dominated Senate races. Despite Democratic fundraising and a competitive primary field, no major shifts have emerged in the past week, with upcoming August primaries poised to shape nominees amid national Senate control stakes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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