Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election, reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal contests and Moody's established position following her appointment to complete the term. Recent polls from July 2026 show her ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with broader Republican advantages in Florida. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to close the gap before the November general election, as historical turnout and partisan registration trends favor the GOP candidate. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling dynamics, with few indicators of a competitive shift in the final months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$68,903 Vol.
$68,903 Vol.
共和党
87%
民主党
14%
$68,903 Vol.
$68,903 Vol.
共和党
$39,045 Vol.
87%
民主党
$29,859 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election, reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal contests and Moody's established position following her appointment to complete the term. Recent polls from July 2026 show her ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with broader Republican advantages in Florida. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to close the gap before the November general election, as historical turnout and partisan registration trends favor the GOP candidate. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling dynamics, with few indicators of a competitive shift in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
音量
$68,903マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election, reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal contests and Moody's established position following her appointment to complete the term. Recent polls from July 2026 show her ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with broader Republican advantages in Florida. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to close the gap before the November general election, as historical turnout and partisan registration trends favor the GOP candidate. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling dynamics, with few indicators of a competitive shift in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$68,903マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Florida special Senate election, reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent federal contests and Moody's established position following her appointment to complete the term. Recent polls from July 2026 show her ahead of likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8–10 points in head-to-head matchups, consistent with broader Republican advantages in Florida. The Democratic primary scheduled for August 18 offers limited opportunity to close the gap before the November general election, as historical turnout and partisan registration trends favor the GOP candidate. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and polling dynamics, with few indicators of a competitive shift in the final months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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