Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and structural advantages anchor trader consensus around a 92% probability for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no serious primary opposition and seeks a second term in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1994, with his 2020 margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet none have shown statewide fundraising strength or broad appeal. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal elections. A major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or dramatic national realignment could alter dynamics before the November general election, though primaries remain scheduled for August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
3%
$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,063 Vol.
92%
民主党
$9,117 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and structural advantages anchor trader consensus around a 92% probability for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no serious primary opposition and seeks a second term in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1994, with his 2020 margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet none have shown statewide fundraising strength or broad appeal. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal elections. A major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or dramatic national realignment could alter dynamics before the November general election, though primaries remain scheduled for August.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$20,179終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and structural advantages anchor trader consensus around a 92% probability for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no serious primary opposition and seeks a second term in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1994, with his 2020 margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet none have shown statewide fundraising strength or broad appeal. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal elections. A major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or dramatic national realignment could alter dynamics before the November general election, though primaries remain scheduled for August.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$20,179終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and structural advantages anchor trader consensus around a 92% probability for the GOP nominee in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Bill Hagerty faces no serious primary opposition and seeks a second term in a state where Republicans have held the seat continuously since 1994, with his 2020 margin exceeding 20 points. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have filed, yet none have shown statewide fundraising strength or broad appeal. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the state's consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent federal elections. A major scandal, health event affecting Hagerty, or dramatic national realignment could alter dynamics before the November general election, though primaries remain scheduled for August.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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