Tennessee's solidly Republican electoral environment and the strong position of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. All major forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent voting patterns in recent federal elections and limited Democratic infrastructure. Hagerty's substantial fundraising and lack of credible opposition have further stabilized expectations, with no significant polling shifts or national trends altering the outlook as of early June 2026. While a major scandal, health development, or unexpected primary upset could theoretically narrow the margin, structural factors and historical precedent make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,051 Vol.
$20,051 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
3%
$20,051 Vol.
$20,051 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,018 Vol.
92%
民主党
$9,033 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electoral environment and the strong position of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. All major forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent voting patterns in recent federal elections and limited Democratic infrastructure. Hagerty's substantial fundraising and lack of credible opposition have further stabilized expectations, with no significant polling shifts or national trends altering the outlook as of early June 2026. While a major scandal, health development, or unexpected primary upset could theoretically narrow the margin, structural factors and historical precedent make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$20,051終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electoral environment and the strong position of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. All major forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent voting patterns in recent federal elections and limited Democratic infrastructure. Hagerty's substantial fundraising and lack of credible opposition have further stabilized expectations, with no significant polling shifts or national trends altering the outlook as of early June 2026. While a major scandal, health development, or unexpected primary upset could theoretically narrow the margin, structural factors and historical precedent make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$20,051終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican electoral environment and the strong position of incumbent Senator Bill Hagerty anchor trader consensus around a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. All major forecasters rate the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent voting patterns in recent federal elections and limited Democratic infrastructure. Hagerty's substantial fundraising and lack of credible opposition have further stabilized expectations, with no significant polling shifts or national trends altering the outlook as of early June 2026. While a major scandal, health development, or unexpected primary upset could theoretically narrow the margin, structural factors and historical precedent make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問