Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's incumbency and substantial fundraising advantage, underpin trader sentiment. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and the fact that Democrats have not won a Senate seat there since 1990. The August primary and November general election timeline leave limited room for shifts absent major developments. Potential challenges include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee after the August primaries, a significant national political wave favoring the opposition, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
3%
$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,063 Vol.
93%
民主党
$9,117 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's incumbency and substantial fundraising advantage, underpin trader sentiment. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and the fact that Democrats have not won a Senate seat there since 1990. The August primary and November general election timeline leave limited room for shifts absent major developments. Potential challenges include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee after the August primaries, a significant national political wave favoring the opposition, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$20,179終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's incumbency and substantial fundraising advantage, underpin trader sentiment. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and the fact that Democrats have not won a Senate seat there since 1990. The August primary and November general election timeline leave limited room for shifts absent major developments. Potential challenges include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee after the August primaries, a significant national political wave favoring the opposition, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$20,179終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican winner. Tennessee's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal elections, combined with Hagerty's incumbency and substantial fundraising advantage, underpin trader sentiment. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state's partisan lean and the fact that Democrats have not won a Senate seat there since 1990. The August primary and November general election timeline leave limited room for shifts absent major developments. Potential challenges include an unexpectedly strong Democratic nominee after the August primaries, a significant national political wave favoring the opposition, or unforeseen issues affecting the incumbent's campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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