Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains heavily favored for the Republican nominee due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, where GOP candidates have secured consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests. Incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary entrants lack statewide name recognition or resources. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Republican based on historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling. A late national political shift, major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,157 Vol.
$20,157 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
3%
$20,157 Vol.
$20,157 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,042 Vol.
92%
民主党
$9,116 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains heavily favored for the Republican nominee due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, where GOP candidates have secured consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests. Incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary entrants lack statewide name recognition or resources. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Republican based on historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling. A late national political shift, major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$20,157終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains heavily favored for the Republican nominee due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, where GOP candidates have secured consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests. Incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary entrants lack statewide name recognition or resources. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Republican based on historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling. A late national political shift, major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$20,157終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's U.S. Senate seat remains heavily favored for the Republican nominee due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, where GOP candidates have secured consistent double-digit margins in recent federal contests. Incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a substantial fundraising lead and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 contest, while Democratic primary entrants lack statewide name recognition or resources. Forecasters across outlets classify the race as solid or safe Republican based on historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling. A late national political shift, major scandal affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the outcome, though structural factors make such changes improbable before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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