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icon for ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者
政治·米国選挙

ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者

icon for ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者
政治·米国選挙

ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者

新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for アンディ・バー（共和党）

アンディ・バー（共和党）

$4,863 Vol.

87%

icon for チャールズ・ブッカー（民主党）

チャールズ・ブッカー（民主党）

$4,513 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Andy Barr secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s open U.S. Senate seat in the May 2026 primary with strong backing from President Trump, clearing the field against challengers such as Daniel Cameron. Charles Booker prevailed in the Democratic primary over Amy McGrath and others, positioning him as the general-election nominee. Kentucky’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests since the early 1990s, combined with the retirement of longtime incumbent Mitch McConnell, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a substantial advantage heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. Limited polling and early campaign activity have not yet produced major shifts, reinforcing the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$9,376
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Andy Barr secured the Republican nomination for Kentucky’s open U.S. Senate seat in the May 2026 primary with strong backing from President Trump, clearing the field against challengers such as Daniel Cameron. Charles Booker prevailed in the Democratic primary over Amy McGrath and others, positioning him as the general-election nominee. Kentucky’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests since the early 1990s, combined with the retirement of longtime incumbent Mitch McConnell, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee holds a substantial advantage heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. Limited polling and early campaign activity have not yet produced major shifts, reinforcing the current implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$9,376
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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よくある質問

「ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アンディ・バー（共和党）」で87%、次いで「チャールズ・ブッカー（民主党）」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、87¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に87%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Oct 13, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アンディ・バー（共和党）」で87%であり、市場がこの結果に87%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「チャールズ・ブッカー（民主党）」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ケンタッキー州上院選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。