Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding lead in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race, backed by the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including a 29-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Rounds secured his party's nomination with 75.8% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements. The Democratic nominee withdrew in August, leaving independent Brian Bengs—who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat—as the primary challenger. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Bengs could narrow the gap through debate performances or turnout shifts among independents, but structural factors such as party registration and historical margins make significant movement unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日サウスダコタ州上院選挙の勝者
サウスダコタ州上院選挙の勝者
マイク・ラウンズ（共和党） 94.0%
ブライアン・ベングス（無所属） 3.9%
民主党 <1%
$31,133 Vol.
$31,133 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ラウンズ（共和党）
94%
ブライアン・ベングス（無所属）
4%
民主党
<1%
マイク・ラウンズ（共和党） 94.0%
ブライアン・ベングス（無所属） 3.9%
民主党 <1%
$31,133 Vol.
$31,133 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ラウンズ（共和党）
$17,772 Vol.
94%
ブライアン・ベングス（無所属）
$907 Vol.
4%
民主党
$12,454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding lead in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race, backed by the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including a 29-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Rounds secured his party's nomination with 75.8% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements. The Democratic nominee withdrew in August, leaving independent Brian Bengs—who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat—as the primary challenger. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Bengs could narrow the gap through debate performances or turnout shifts among independents, but structural factors such as party registration and historical margins make significant movement unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$31,133終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding lead in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race, backed by the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including a 29-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Rounds secured his party's nomination with 75.8% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements. The Democratic nominee withdrew in August, leaving independent Brian Bengs—who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat—as the primary challenger. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Bengs could narrow the gap through debate performances or turnout shifts among independents, but structural factors such as party registration and historical margins make significant movement unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Dakota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$31,133終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rounds holds a commanding lead in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race, backed by the state's consistent Republican voting patterns, including a 29-point margin for the party's presidential candidate in 2024. Rounds secured his party's nomination with 75.8% in the June primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements. The Democratic nominee withdrew in August, leaving independent Brian Bengs—who previously ran unsuccessfully as a Democrat—as the primary challenger. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Bengs could narrow the gap through debate performances or turnout shifts among independents, but structural factors such as party registration and historical margins make significant movement unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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