South Dakota's strong Republican lean and the party's unbroken control of the governorship since 1979 underpin the 91.3% consensus for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. The June 2 primary produced a July 28 runoff between incumbent Larry Rhoden and businessman Toby Doeden after no candidate cleared 35%, with U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson and others eliminated; Democrat Dan Ahlers advanced unopposed. Historical results, including double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1974, anchor trader pricing. A narrow Democratic path would require an unprecedented upset in this solidly Republican state, potentially triggered only by major shifts in turnout patterns or late developments in the Republican nomination contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,947 Vol.
$15,947 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$15,947 Vol.
$15,947 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,187 Vol.
93%
民主党
$9,760 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's strong Republican lean and the party's unbroken control of the governorship since 1979 underpin the 91.3% consensus for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. The June 2 primary produced a July 28 runoff between incumbent Larry Rhoden and businessman Toby Doeden after no candidate cleared 35%, with U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson and others eliminated; Democrat Dan Ahlers advanced unopposed. Historical results, including double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1974, anchor trader pricing. A narrow Democratic path would require an unprecedented upset in this solidly Republican state, potentially triggered only by major shifts in turnout patterns or late developments in the Republican nomination contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$15,947終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Dakota's strong Republican lean and the party's unbroken control of the governorship since 1979 underpin the 91.3% consensus for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. The June 2 primary produced a July 28 runoff between incumbent Larry Rhoden and businessman Toby Doeden after no candidate cleared 35%, with U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson and others eliminated; Democrat Dan Ahlers advanced unopposed. Historical results, including double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1974, anchor trader pricing. A narrow Democratic path would require an unprecedented upset in this solidly Republican state, potentially triggered only by major shifts in turnout patterns or late developments in the Republican nomination contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$15,947終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's strong Republican lean and the party's unbroken control of the governorship since 1979 underpin the 91.3% consensus for a Republican winner in the November 3, 2026, general election. The June 2 primary produced a July 28 runoff between incumbent Larry Rhoden and businessman Toby Doeden after no candidate cleared 35%, with U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson and others eliminated; Democrat Dan Ahlers advanced unopposed. Historical results, including double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles and no Democratic gubernatorial victory since 1974, anchor trader pricing. A narrow Democratic path would require an unprecedented upset in this solidly Republican state, potentially triggered only by major shifts in turnout patterns or late developments in the Republican nomination contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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