South Carolina's strong Republican lean in statewide contests, reinforced by consistent voter patterns and the absence of a Democratic governor since 2003, underpins the high probability assigned to the Republican nominee. Alan Wilson secured the nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, positioning the party to maintain control of an open seat left by term-limited Governor Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent gubernatorial elections. Traders reflect this consensus through current pricing, while noting that late developments such as significant scandals, unexpected national shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for reversal before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,839 Vol.
$15,839 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
$15,839 Vol.
$15,839 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,882 Vol.
92%
民主党
$6,957 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's strong Republican lean in statewide contests, reinforced by consistent voter patterns and the absence of a Democratic governor since 2003, underpins the high probability assigned to the Republican nominee. Alan Wilson secured the nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, positioning the party to maintain control of an open seat left by term-limited Governor Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent gubernatorial elections. Traders reflect this consensus through current pricing, while noting that late developments such as significant scandals, unexpected national shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for reversal before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
音量
$15,839終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's strong Republican lean in statewide contests, reinforced by consistent voter patterns and the absence of a Democratic governor since 2003, underpins the high probability assigned to the Republican nominee. Alan Wilson secured the nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, positioning the party to maintain control of an open seat left by term-limited Governor Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent gubernatorial elections. Traders reflect this consensus through current pricing, while noting that late developments such as significant scandals, unexpected national shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for reversal before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$15,839終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's strong Republican lean in statewide contests, reinforced by consistent voter patterns and the absence of a Democratic governor since 2003, underpins the high probability assigned to the Republican nominee. Alan Wilson secured the nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff against Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette, positioning the party to maintain control of an open seat left by term-limited Governor Henry McMaster. Democratic nominee Jermaine Johnson, a state representative, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republican candidates have dominated recent gubernatorial elections. Traders reflect this consensus through current pricing, while noting that late developments such as significant scandals, unexpected national shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for reversal before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問