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icon for ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者

ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者

icon for ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者

ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for ブルース・ブレイクマン(共和党)

ブルース・ブレイクマン(共和党)

$391 Vol.

84%

icon for キャシー・ホークル(民主党)

キャシー・ホークル(民主党)

$0 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive, holds a strong position in local polling for the November 2026 gubernatorial contest, reflecting his incumbency advantage and established voter base in the county. A June Siena/Newsday survey showed him ahead of Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul by five points in Nassau, reversing her edge elsewhere on Long Island. Recent campaign activity has centered on immigration enforcement, parole policies, and local cooperation with federal authorities, areas where Blakeman has drawn contrasts with Hochul’s administration. Minor-party and independent candidates remain on the ballot but show limited traction in available data. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with Nassau’s historical Republican lean in county-level contests and the absence of major shifts in the two months before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
音量
$391
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican Nassau County executive, holds a strong position in local polling for the November 2026 gubernatorial contest, reflecting his incumbency advantage and established voter base in the county. A June Siena/Newsday survey showed him ahead of Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul by five points in Nassau, reversing her edge elsewhere on Long Island. Recent campaign activity has centered on immigration enforcement, parole policies, and local cooperation with federal authorities, areas where Blakeman has drawn contrasts with Hochul’s administration. Minor-party and independent candidates remain on the ballot but show limited traction in available data. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with Nassau’s historical Republican lean in county-level contests and the absence of major shifts in the two months before Election Day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
音量
$391
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.

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よくある質問

「ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブルース・ブレイクマン(共和党)」で84%、次いで「キャシー・ホークル(民主党)」が13%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、84¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に84%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 2, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブルース・ブレイクマン(共和党)」で84%であり、市場がこの結果に84%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「キャシー・ホークル(民主党)」で13%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク州知事選挙:ナッソー郡の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。