All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups in polling averages, with Democratic nominee James Talarico edging or tying Republican Ken Paxton in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead over Mike Rogers in the open Michigan seat, and Troy Jackson running within a point or two of incumbent Susan Collins in Maine. These tight margins reflect competitive fundamentals—an open Republican-held seat in Texas after the primary, an open Democratic seat in Michigan, and Collins’s established cross-party appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the presidential level—combined with recent polling showing no decisive separation on issues such as the economy or candidate-specific concerns. Trader consensus around a 50-42 split between mixed results and a Democratic sweep tracks the narrow, state-by-state variability, where small shifts in turnout among independents or late campaign developments could alter any single outcome without favoring a full sweep or Republican clean sweep.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党全勝 43%
共和党 テキサス＆ミシガン、民主党 メイン 12%
テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主） 11%
民主党 テキサス＆ミシガン、共和党 メイン 8.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党全勝
43%
共和党 テキサス＆ミシガン、民主党 メイン
12%
テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主）
11%
民主党 テキサス＆ミシガン、共和党 メイン
8%
共和党が全勝
7%
民主党：テキサス・メイン、共和党：ミシガン
7%
共和党 テキサス＆メイン、民主党 ミシガン
6%
テキサス州民主党、ミシガン州・メイン州共和党
4%
民主党全勝 43%
共和党 テキサス＆ミシガン、民主党 メイン 12%
テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主） 11%
民主党 テキサス＆ミシガン、共和党 メイン 8.3%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党全勝
$1,338 Vol.
43%
共和党 テキサス＆ミシガン、民主党 メイン
$169 Vol.
12%
テキサス（共和）、ミシガン＆メイン（民主）
$157 Vol.
11%
民主党 テキサス＆ミシガン、共和党 メイン
$116 Vol.
8%
共和党が全勝
$131 Vol.
7%
民主党：テキサス・メイン、共和党：ミシガン
$164 Vol.
7%
共和党 テキサス＆メイン、民主党 ミシガン
$142 Vol.
6%
テキサス州民主党、ミシガン州・メイン州共和党
$119 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups in polling averages, with Democratic nominee James Talarico edging or tying Republican Ken Paxton in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead over Mike Rogers in the open Michigan seat, and Troy Jackson running within a point or two of incumbent Susan Collins in Maine. These tight margins reflect competitive fundamentals—an open Republican-held seat in Texas after the primary, an open Democratic seat in Michigan, and Collins’s established cross-party appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the presidential level—combined with recent polling showing no decisive separation on issues such as the economy or candidate-specific concerns. Trader consensus around a 50-42 split between mixed results and a Democratic sweep tracks the narrow, state-by-state variability, where small shifts in turnout among independents or late campaign developments could alter any single outcome without favoring a full sweep or Republican clean sweep.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
音量
$2,336終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups in polling averages, with Democratic nominee James Talarico edging or tying Republican Ken Paxton in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead over Mike Rogers in the open Michigan seat, and Troy Jackson running within a point or two of incumbent Susan Collins in Maine. These tight margins reflect competitive fundamentals—an open Republican-held seat in Texas after the primary, an open Democratic seat in Michigan, and Collins’s established cross-party appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the presidential level—combined with recent polling showing no decisive separation on issues such as the economy or candidate-specific concerns. Trader consensus around a 50-42 split between mixed results and a Democratic sweep tracks the narrow, state-by-state variability, where small shifts in turnout among independents or late campaign developments could alter any single outcome without favoring a full sweep or Republican clean sweep.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$2,336終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...All three 2026 Senate contests remain toss-ups in polling averages, with Democratic nominee James Talarico edging or tying Republican Ken Paxton in Texas, Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow lead over Mike Rogers in the open Michigan seat, and Troy Jackson running within a point or two of incumbent Susan Collins in Maine. These tight margins reflect competitive fundamentals—an open Republican-held seat in Texas after the primary, an open Democratic seat in Michigan, and Collins’s established cross-party appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the presidential level—combined with recent polling showing no decisive separation on issues such as the economy or candidate-specific concerns. Trader consensus around a 50-42 split between mixed results and a Democratic sweep tracks the narrow, state-by-state variability, where small shifts in turnout among independents or late campaign developments could alter any single outcome without favoring a full sweep or Republican clean sweep.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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