**Maine’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature a competitive Senate contest alongside a clearer Democratic advantage for governor.** Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson in a toss-up Senate race, with recent September polls showing Jackson holding narrow leads or near-ties around 46-48% to Collins’s 44-47%. The open gubernatorial seat favors Democrat Hannah Pingree, who leads Republican Bobby Charles by roughly 10-12 points in aggregates, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the absence of an incumbent. These dynamics position a Democratic sweep as the leading trader outcome, while the split favoring a Republican Senate hold remains plausible given Collins’s long record and local appeal. An independent factor in the governor race and overall uncertainty contribute to elevated pricing on “other” results. Late-summer polling stability and primary resolutions have reinforced this market structure without major shifts in the final weeks before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党が全勝 71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利 26%
共和党が圧勝 3.6%
共和党が知事、民主党が上院で勝利 <1%
$11,695 Vol.
$11,695 Vol.
2027/03/31
民主党が全勝
71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利
26%
共和党が圧勝
4%
共和党が知事、民主党が上院で勝利
<1%
民主党が全勝 71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利 26%
共和党が圧勝 3.6%
共和党が知事、民主党が上院で勝利 <1%
$11,695 Vol.
$11,695 Vol.
2027/03/31
民主党が全勝
$6,630 Vol.
71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利
$3,021 Vol.
26%
共和党が圧勝
$1,190 Vol.
4%
共和党が知事、民主党が上院で勝利
$854 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
**Maine’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature a competitive Senate contest alongside a clearer Democratic advantage for governor.** Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson in a toss-up Senate race, with recent September polls showing Jackson holding narrow leads or near-ties around 46-48% to Collins’s 44-47%. The open gubernatorial seat favors Democrat Hannah Pingree, who leads Republican Bobby Charles by roughly 10-12 points in aggregates, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the absence of an incumbent. These dynamics position a Democratic sweep as the leading trader outcome, while the split favoring a Republican Senate hold remains plausible given Collins’s long record and local appeal. An independent factor in the governor race and overall uncertainty contribute to elevated pricing on “other” results. Late-summer polling stability and primary resolutions have reinforced this market structure without major shifts in the final weeks before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$11,695終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
**Maine’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature a competitive Senate contest alongside a clearer Democratic advantage for governor.** Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson in a toss-up Senate race, with recent September polls showing Jackson holding narrow leads or near-ties around 46-48% to Collins’s 44-47%. The open gubernatorial seat favors Democrat Hannah Pingree, who leads Republican Bobby Charles by roughly 10-12 points in aggregates, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the absence of an incumbent. These dynamics position a Democratic sweep as the leading trader outcome, while the split favoring a Republican Senate hold remains plausible given Collins’s long record and local appeal. An independent factor in the governor race and overall uncertainty contribute to elevated pricing on “other” results. Late-summer polling stability and primary resolutions have reinforced this market structure without major shifts in the final weeks before November.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,695終了日
2027/04/01マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Maine’s 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature a competitive Senate contest alongside a clearer Democratic advantage for governor.** Incumbent Republican Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson in a toss-up Senate race, with recent September polls showing Jackson holding narrow leads or near-ties around 46-48% to Collins’s 44-47%. The open gubernatorial seat favors Democrat Hannah Pingree, who leads Republican Bobby Charles by roughly 10-12 points in aggregates, reflecting the state’s recent Democratic lean in statewide contests and the absence of an incumbent. These dynamics position a Democratic sweep as the leading trader outcome, while the split favoring a Republican Senate hold remains plausible given Collins’s long record and local appeal. An independent factor in the governor race and overall uncertainty contribute to elevated pricing on “other” results. Late-summer polling stability and primary resolutions have reinforced this market structure without major shifts in the final weeks before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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