Florida's 4th congressional district, centered in the Jacksonville area, features a strong Republican partisan lean that shapes trader sentiment for the 2026 House race. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 57% in 2024, holds the seat amid minimal shifts from redistricting or other factors. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Both parties face August 18 primaries ahead of the November 3 general election, but Democratic candidates lack notable name recognition or fundraising edges at this stage. These structural and historical advantages sustain the current market positioning with no major recent catalysts altering the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,912 Vol.
$11,912 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
19%
$11,912 Vol.
$11,912 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,745 Vol.
79%
民主党
$5,167 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district, centered in the Jacksonville area, features a strong Republican partisan lean that shapes trader sentiment for the 2026 House race. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 57% in 2024, holds the seat amid minimal shifts from redistricting or other factors. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Both parties face August 18 primaries ahead of the November 3 general election, but Democratic candidates lack notable name recognition or fundraising edges at this stage. These structural and historical advantages sustain the current market positioning with no major recent catalysts altering the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$11,912終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district, centered in the Jacksonville area, features a strong Republican partisan lean that shapes trader sentiment for the 2026 House race. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 57% in 2024, holds the seat amid minimal shifts from redistricting or other factors. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Both parties face August 18 primaries ahead of the November 3 general election, but Democratic candidates lack notable name recognition or fundraising edges at this stage. These structural and historical advantages sustain the current market positioning with no major recent catalysts altering the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,912終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district, centered in the Jacksonville area, features a strong Republican partisan lean that shapes trader sentiment for the 2026 House race. Incumbent Republican Aaron Bean, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 57% in 2024, holds the seat amid minimal shifts from redistricting or other factors. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Both parties face August 18 primaries ahead of the November 3 general election, but Democratic candidates lack notable name recognition or fundraising edges at this stage. These structural and historical advantages sustain the current market positioning with no major recent catalysts altering the outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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