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icon for グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者
政治·カナダ

グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者

icon for グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者
政治·カナダ

グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者

Paul Lefebvre 75%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli 15%

Troy Crowder 6%

Joseph Boutros 3.6%

Polymarket
新規

Paul Lefebvre 75%

Miranda Rocca-Circelli 15%

Troy Crowder 6%

Joseph Boutros 3.6%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Paul Lefebvre

Paul Lefebvre

$265 Vol.

75%

icon for Miranda Rocca-Circelli

Miranda Rocca-Circelli

$54 Vol.

15%

icon for Troy Crowder

Troy Crowder

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Joseph Boutros

Joseph Boutros

$0 Vol.

4%

icon for Bob Johnston

Bob Johnston

$0 Vol.

3%

icon for Keenan Menard

Keenan Menard

$0 Vol.

3%

icon for Michael McIntosh

Michael McIntosh

$0 Vol.

3%

icon for Rodney Newton

Rodney Newton

$21 Vol.

3%

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.Incumbent Paul Lefebvre holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026, Greater Sudbury mayoral race, backed by his record of advancing mining investments, housing initiatives, and advocacy on homelessness and addiction policy. Recent activity, including calls for a special economic zone and support for involuntary treatment frameworks, has reinforced his profile ahead of the lame-duck period. Challenger Miranda Rocca-Circelli and others, including Troy Crowder, Bob Johnston, Joseph Boutros, Rodney Newton, Michael McIntosh, and Keenan Menard, have registered but trail significantly, with limited polling visibility or momentum shifts reported since nominations closed in late August. Trader consensus prices reflect the typical incumbency advantage in Ontario municipal contests, tempered by the multi-candidate field and standard uncertainty around turnout and late campaign developments.

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
音量
$340
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.Incumbent Paul Lefebvre holds a commanding position in the October 26, 2026, Greater Sudbury mayoral race, backed by his record of advancing mining investments, housing initiatives, and advocacy on homelessness and addiction policy. Recent activity, including calls for a special economic zone and support for involuntary treatment frameworks, has reinforced his profile ahead of the lame-duck period. Challenger Miranda Rocca-Circelli and others, including Troy Crowder, Bob Johnston, Joseph Boutros, Rodney Newton, Michael McIntosh, and Keenan Menard, have registered but trail significantly, with limited polling visibility or momentum shifts reported since nominations closed in late August. Trader consensus prices reflect the typical incumbency advantage in Ontario municipal contests, tempered by the multi-candidate field and standard uncertainty around turnout and late campaign developments.

The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.
音量
$340
終了日
2026/10/26
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 2:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Greater Sudbury, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Greater Sudbury, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Sudbury, Ontario.

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Paul Lefebvre」で75%、次いで「Miranda Rocca-Circelli」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 24, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「Paul Lefebvre」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Miranda Rocca-Circelli」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「グレーターサドベリー、オンタリオ州市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。