Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at over 95 percent. The open Class II seat, following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek reelection, has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso, alongside lesser-known challengers. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan patterns and limited path for opposition gains. A Republican primary upset producing a significantly weakened nominee or an unforeseen national realignment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,678 Vol.
$15,678 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
2%
$15,678 Vol.
$15,678 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,046 Vol.
95%
民主党
$5,632 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at over 95 percent. The open Class II seat, following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek reelection, has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso, alongside lesser-known challengers. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan patterns and limited path for opposition gains. A Republican primary upset producing a significantly weakened nominee or an unforeseen national realignment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$15,678終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at over 95 percent. The open Class II seat, following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek reelection, has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso, alongside lesser-known challengers. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan patterns and limited path for opposition gains. A Republican primary upset producing a significantly weakened nominee or an unforeseen national realignment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$15,678終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal elections, with no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the eventual Republican nominee at over 95 percent. The open Class II seat, following incumbent Cynthia Lummis's decision not to seek reelection, has drawn a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso, alongside lesser-known challengers. Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources ahead of their own primary. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the state's consistent partisan patterns and limited path for opposition gains. A Republican primary upset producing a significantly weakened nominee or an unforeseen national realignment could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問