Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent electoral history and the state's partisan makeup, underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a GOP Senate winner in the open seat race on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's retirement has drawn a competitive Republican primary field led by Representative Harriet Hageman, bolstered by endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant health developments, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout could compress the margin, though the state's low population and structural voting patterns limit prospects for an upset before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,951 Vol.
95%
民主党
$3,569 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent electoral history and the state's partisan makeup, underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a GOP Senate winner in the open seat race on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's retirement has drawn a competitive Republican primary field led by Representative Harriet Hageman, bolstered by endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant health developments, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout could compress the margin, though the state's low population and structural voting patterns limit prospects for an upset before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$10,519終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent electoral history and the state's partisan makeup, underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a GOP Senate winner in the open seat race on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's retirement has drawn a competitive Republican primary field led by Representative Harriet Hageman, bolstered by endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant health developments, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout could compress the margin, though the state's low population and structural voting patterns limit prospects for an upset before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$10,519終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage, rooted in consistent electoral history and the state's partisan makeup, underpins the 94.5% market consensus for a GOP Senate winner in the open seat race on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis's retirement has drawn a competitive Republican primary field led by Representative Harriet Hageman, bolstered by endorsements from former President Trump and Lummis ahead of the August 18 primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic primary candidates lack comparable statewide visibility or resources. A major scandal involving the eventual nominee, significant health developments, or unexpectedly elevated Democratic turnout could compress the margin, though the state's low population and structural voting patterns limit prospects for an upset before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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