Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, has produced a dominant Republican edge in trader consensus due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, with no Democratic victory in Senate contests since 1970. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and low Democratic primary visibility from candidates such as Billy Benavidez. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman leads the August 18 primary field with endorsements from Lummis and former President Trump, while other contenders like Jill Edwards and John Holtz trail. A major scandal, health event, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the state's low population and structural Republican advantages constrain realistic shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$10,519 Vol.
$10,519 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,951 Vol.
95%
民主党
$3,569 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, has produced a dominant Republican edge in trader consensus due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, with no Democratic victory in Senate contests since 1970. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and low Democratic primary visibility from candidates such as Billy Benavidez. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman leads the August 18 primary field with endorsements from Lummis and former President Trump, while other contenders like Jill Edwards and John Holtz trail. A major scandal, health event, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the state's low population and structural Republican advantages constrain realistic shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
音量
$10,519終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, has produced a dominant Republican edge in trader consensus due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, with no Democratic victory in Senate contests since 1970. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and low Democratic primary visibility from candidates such as Billy Benavidez. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman leads the August 18 primary field with endorsements from Lummis and former President Trump, while other contenders like Jill Edwards and John Holtz trail. A major scandal, health event, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the state's low population and structural Republican advantages constrain realistic shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$10,519終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Cynthia Lummis, has produced a dominant Republican edge in trader consensus due to the state's longstanding partisan alignment, with no Democratic victory in Senate contests since 1970. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and low Democratic primary visibility from candidates such as Billy Benavidez. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman leads the August 18 primary field with endorsements from Lummis and former President Trump, while other contenders like Jill Edwards and John Holtz trail. A major scandal, health event, or unexpectedly strong Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though the state's low population and structural Republican advantages constrain realistic shifts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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