Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The district’s R+7 partisan lean and Mast’s 61.8% victory in 2024 reinforce trader expectations. Democrat James Martin, who narrowly won his August 18 primary, faces structural challenges including lower visibility and limited resources. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Treasure Coast and northern Palm Beach County areas, though current conditions point to limited volatility before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,656 Vol.
$15,656 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・マスト（共和党）
91%
ジェームズ・マーティン（民主党）
9%
$15,656 Vol.
$15,656 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・マスト（共和党）
$9,240 Vol.
91%
ジェームズ・マーティン（民主党）
$6,416 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The district’s R+7 partisan lean and Mast’s 61.8% victory in 2024 reinforce trader expectations. Democrat James Martin, who narrowly won his August 18 primary, faces structural challenges including lower visibility and limited resources. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Treasure Coast and northern Palm Beach County areas, though current conditions point to limited volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$15,656終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The district’s R+7 partisan lean and Mast’s 61.8% victory in 2024 reinforce trader expectations. Democrat James Martin, who narrowly won his August 18 primary, faces structural challenges including lower visibility and limited resources. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Treasure Coast and northern Palm Beach County areas, though current conditions point to limited volatility before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,656終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding position in Florida’s 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his unopposed primary win, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters. The district’s R+7 partisan lean and Mast’s 61.8% victory in 2024 reinforce trader expectations. Democrat James Martin, who narrowly won his August 18 primary, faces structural challenges including lower visibility and limited resources. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the Treasure Coast and northern Palm Beach County areas, though current conditions point to limited volatility before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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