Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st Congressional District race due to his status as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Mast securing 61.8% in 2024, and recent redistricting further strengthened GOP positioning. Mast faced no primary opposition, raised over $4 million, and benefits from established voter recognition in Martin, St. Lucie, and parts of Palm Beach counties. James Martin, the Democratic nominee after a narrow August 2026 primary win, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the competitive landscape. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or national political shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,676 Vol.
$15,676 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・マスト（共和党）
91%
ジェームズ・マーティン（民主党）
7%
$15,676 Vol.
$15,676 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・マスト（共和党）
$9,240 Vol.
91%
ジェームズ・マーティン（民主党）
$6,436 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st Congressional District race due to his status as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Mast securing 61.8% in 2024, and recent redistricting further strengthened GOP positioning. Mast faced no primary opposition, raised over $4 million, and benefits from established voter recognition in Martin, St. Lucie, and parts of Palm Beach counties. James Martin, the Democratic nominee after a narrow August 2026 primary win, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the competitive landscape. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or national political shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$15,676終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st Congressional District race due to his status as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Mast securing 61.8% in 2024, and recent redistricting further strengthened GOP positioning. Mast faced no primary opposition, raised over $4 million, and benefits from established voter recognition in Martin, St. Lucie, and parts of Palm Beach counties. James Martin, the Democratic nominee after a narrow August 2026 primary win, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the competitive landscape. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or national political shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,676終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in the Florida 21st Congressional District race due to his status as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The seat leaned Republican in recent cycles, with Mast securing 61.8% in 2024, and recent redistricting further strengthened GOP positioning. Mast faced no primary opposition, raised over $4 million, and benefits from established voter recognition in Martin, St. Lucie, and parts of Palm Beach counties. James Martin, the Democratic nominee after a narrow August 2026 primary win, trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds in the general election on November 3. Independent candidates add minor fragmentation but do not alter the competitive landscape. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as scandals, health events, or national political shifts could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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