Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district under a new map approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis that tilts the state’s House delegation further toward Republicans. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, supporting the 85.5 percent Republican probability reflected in current trader pricing. Mast faces a low-key Republican primary on August 18, 2026, while multiple Democrats—including James Martin—are competing in their primary amid significantly lower fundraising totals. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support and the absence of competitive headwinds ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments in the past month have altered these structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
15%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,665 Vol.
86%
民主党
$3,353 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district under a new map approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis that tilts the state’s House delegation further toward Republicans. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, supporting the 85.5 percent Republican probability reflected in current trader pricing. Mast faces a low-key Republican primary on August 18, 2026, while multiple Democrats—including James Martin—are competing in their primary amid significantly lower fundraising totals. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support and the absence of competitive headwinds ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments in the past month have altered these structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$8,018終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district under a new map approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis that tilts the state’s House delegation further toward Republicans. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, supporting the 85.5 percent Republican probability reflected in current trader pricing. Mast faces a low-key Republican primary on August 18, 2026, while multiple Democrats—including James Martin—are competing in their primary amid significantly lower fundraising totals. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support and the absence of competitive headwinds ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments in the past month have altered these structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,018終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast seeks re-election in Florida’s 21st congressional district under a new map approved by Gov. Ron DeSantis that tilts the state’s House delegation further toward Republicans. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, supporting the 85.5 percent Republican probability reflected in current trader pricing. Mast faces a low-key Republican primary on August 18, 2026, while multiple Democrats—including James Martin—are competing in their primary amid significantly lower fundraising totals. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support and the absence of competitive headwinds ahead of the November 3 general election. No major developments in the past month have altered these structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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