The solidly Democratic lean of New York’s 25th congressional district, anchored in the Rochester area with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle secured 60.8% of the vote in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Sherita Traywick and Robin Wilt. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, a late primary surprise, or significant candidate-specific developments that alter turnout or voter sentiment before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,992 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,098 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of New York’s 25th congressional district, anchored in the Rochester area with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle secured 60.8% of the vote in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Sherita Traywick and Robin Wilt. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, a late primary surprise, or significant candidate-specific developments that alter turnout or voter sentiment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$25,090終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of New York’s 25th congressional district, anchored in the Rochester area with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle secured 60.8% of the vote in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Sherita Traywick and Robin Wilt. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, a late primary surprise, or significant candidate-specific developments that alter turnout or voter sentiment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,090終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic lean of New York’s 25th congressional district, anchored in the Rochester area with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Joseph Morelle secured 60.8% of the vote in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising and organizational edge heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers Sherita Traywick and Robin Wilt. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, a late primary surprise, or significant candidate-specific developments that alter turnout or voter sentiment before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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