NY-25, centered on the Rochester area in Monroe County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including the incumbent's 60.8% win in 2024. Joseph Morelle, first elected in 2018 and now seeking another term, faces a low-profile Republican nominee in Virginia McIntyre while navigating a June 23 Democratic primary against two challengers. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory above 90% aligns with these structural factors. A late Democratic primary upset, candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$25,090 Vol.
$25,090 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,992 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,098 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-25, centered on the Rochester area in Monroe County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including the incumbent's 60.8% win in 2024. Joseph Morelle, first elected in 2018 and now seeking another term, faces a low-profile Republican nominee in Virginia McIntyre while navigating a June 23 Democratic primary against two challengers. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory above 90% aligns with these structural factors. A late Democratic primary upset, candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$25,090終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-25, centered on the Rochester area in Monroe County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including the incumbent's 60.8% win in 2024. Joseph Morelle, first elected in 2018 and now seeking another term, faces a low-profile Republican nominee in Virginia McIntyre while navigating a June 23 Democratic primary against two challengers. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory above 90% aligns with these structural factors. A late Democratic primary upset, candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,090終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-25, centered on the Rochester area in Monroe County, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins, including the incumbent's 60.8% win in 2024. Joseph Morelle, first elected in 2018 and now seeking another term, faces a low-profile Republican nominee in Virginia McIntyre while navigating a June 23 Democratic primary against two challengers. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and the district's underlying partisan composition. Trader consensus pricing a Democratic victory above 90% aligns with these structural factors. A late Democratic primary upset, candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or unusually strong national Republican midterm environment could narrow the gap, though no such developments have surfaced in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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