Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasting outlets. The Republican primary was canceled after Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed, leaving the GOP with limited organizational presence. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double-digit margins, underpin the market's 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unforeseen scandal affecting Morelle, or late redistricting shifts, none of which currently appear probable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,352 Vol.
$25,352 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$25,352 Vol.
$25,352 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$15,110 Vol.
94%
共和党
$10,243 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasting outlets. The Republican primary was canceled after Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed, leaving the GOP with limited organizational presence. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double-digit margins, underpin the market's 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unforeseen scandal affecting Morelle, or late redistricting shifts, none of which currently appear probable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$25,352終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasting outlets. The Republican primary was canceled after Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed, leaving the GOP with limited organizational presence. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double-digit margins, underpin the market's 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unforeseen scandal affecting Morelle, or late redistricting shifts, none of which currently appear probable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,352終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 63 percent of the vote in New York's 25th congressional district, a Rochester-area seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasting outlets. The Republican primary was canceled after Virginia McIntyre advanced unopposed, leaving the GOP with limited organizational presence. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns favoring Democrats by double-digit margins, underpin the market's 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November general election. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, an unforeseen scandal affecting Morelle, or late redistricting shifts, none of which currently appear probable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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