Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary win, and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a 2022 rematch opponent. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican success in recent statewide contests and Pritzker's established voter base across key regions. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent partly due to these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the three months before the November 3 election. Potential challenges include a significant independent candidate drawing disproportionate Republican support, late-breaking scandals, or an unusually strong national partisan wave, though historical patterns and current evidence suggest these remain low-probability events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,570 Vol.
96%
共和党
$3,088 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary win, and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a 2022 rematch opponent. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican success in recent statewide contests and Pritzker's established voter base across key regions. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent partly due to these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the three months before the November 3 election. Potential challenges include a significant independent candidate drawing disproportionate Republican support, late-breaking scandals, or an unusually strong national partisan wave, though historical patterns and current evidence suggest these remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$7,658終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary win, and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a 2022 rematch opponent. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican success in recent statewide contests and Pritzker's established voter base across key regions. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent partly due to these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the three months before the November 3 election. Potential challenges include a significant independent candidate drawing disproportionate Republican support, late-breaking scandals, or an unusually strong national partisan wave, though historical patterns and current evidence suggest these remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$7,658終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor J.B. Pritzker's commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race stems from the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary win, and consistent polling leads of roughly 20 points over Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a 2022 rematch opponent. Race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican success in recent statewide contests and Pritzker's established voter base across key regions. Traders price the Democratic outcome near 95 percent partly due to these structural factors and the absence of major shifts in the three months before the November 3 election. Potential challenges include a significant independent candidate drawing disproportionate Republican support, late-breaking scandals, or an unusually strong national partisan wave, though historical patterns and current evidence suggest these remain low-probability events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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