Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under leader John Thune, while Democrats remain in the minority under Chuck Schumer ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Forecasts from multiple models assign Republicans a modest edge in retaining control, though the chamber remains competitive given the number of seats in play and national political conditions. The near-even market odds between Thune and Schumer reflect this uncertainty over which party secures the majority and thus selects its leader for the next Congress. Within each party, internal caucus dynamics, recent primaries, and candidate recruitment efforts further shape expectations, with lower-probability alternatives listed in case leadership changes occur after the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ジョン・スーン 42%
チャック・シューマー 40%
ブライアン・シャッツ 5.0%
トム・コットン 3.5%
$151,712 Vol.
$151,712 Vol.
2027/01/02
ジョン・スーン
42%
チャック・シューマー
40%
ブライアン・シャッツ
5%
トム・コットン
4%
ジョン・バラッソ
1%
パティ・マレー
1%
コリー・ブッカー
<1%
スティーブ・デインズ
<1%
マーク・ケリー
<1%
エイミー・クロブシャー
<1%
ジョン・スーン 42%
チャック・シューマー 40%
ブライアン・シャッツ 5.0%
トム・コットン 3.5%
$151,712 Vol.
$151,712 Vol.
2027/01/02
ジョン・スーン
$24,941 Vol.
42%
チャック・シューマー
$13,735 Vol.
40%
ブライアン・シャッツ
$2,882 Vol.
5%
トム・コットン
$7,630 Vol.
4%
ジョン・バラッソ
$4,435 Vol.
1%
パティ・マレー
$5,031 Vol.
1%
コリー・ブッカー
$3,751 Vol.
<1%
スティーブ・デインズ
$24,200 Vol.
<1%
マーク・ケリー
$5,335 Vol.
<1%
エイミー・クロブシャー
$4,673 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under leader John Thune, while Democrats remain in the minority under Chuck Schumer ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Forecasts from multiple models assign Republicans a modest edge in retaining control, though the chamber remains competitive given the number of seats in play and national political conditions. The near-even market odds between Thune and Schumer reflect this uncertainty over which party secures the majority and thus selects its leader for the next Congress. Within each party, internal caucus dynamics, recent primaries, and candidate recruitment efforts further shape expectations, with lower-probability alternatives listed in case leadership changes occur after the election.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
マーケット開始日： Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
音量
$151,712終了日
2027/01/03マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under leader John Thune, while Democrats remain in the minority under Chuck Schumer ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Forecasts from multiple models assign Republicans a modest edge in retaining control, though the chamber remains competitive given the number of seats in play and national political conditions. The near-even market odds between Thune and Schumer reflect this uncertainty over which party secures the majority and thus selects its leader for the next Congress. Within each party, internal caucus dynamics, recent primaries, and candidate recruitment efforts further shape expectations, with lower-probability alternatives listed in case leadership changes occur after the election.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
音量
$151,712終了日
2027/01/03マーケット開始日
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under leader John Thune, while Democrats remain in the minority under Chuck Schumer ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Forecasts from multiple models assign Republicans a modest edge in retaining control, though the chamber remains competitive given the number of seats in play and national political conditions. The near-even market odds between Thune and Schumer reflect this uncertainty over which party secures the majority and thus selects its leader for the next Congress. Within each party, internal caucus dynamics, recent primaries, and candidate recruitment efforts further shape expectations, with lower-probability alternatives listed in case leadership changes occur after the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問