Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 218 seats following the 2024 elections, with Democrats needing a net gain of just three districts to flip control in November 2026. Midterm dynamics typically favor the opposition party, amplified by generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge and 46 battleground districts where Democrats defend more competitive seats. Redistricting adjustments in several states have modestly bolstered Republican defenses, yet 59 open seats and historical patterns of the president's party losing ground sustain trader expectations of Republican declines. The spread across seat ranges reflects uncertainty over turnout, candidate recruitment, and any late-cycle shifts in the national environment before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日190未満 22%
200~204 13.3%
195〜199 13%
205~209 13.0%
$282,555 Vol.
$282,555 Vol.
190未満
22%
190〜194
13%
195〜199
13%
200~204
13%
205~209
13%
210〜214
10%
215〜219
8%
220〜224
6%
225〜229
7%
230以上
4%
190未満 22%
200~204 13.3%
195〜199 13%
205~209 13.0%
$282,555 Vol.
$282,555 Vol.
190未満
22%
190〜194
13%
195〜199
13%
200~204
13%
205~209
13%
210〜214
10%
215〜219
8%
220〜224
6%
225〜229
7%
230以上
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority of roughly 218 seats following the 2024 elections, with Democrats needing a net gain of just three districts to flip control in November 2026. Midterm dynamics typically favor the opposition party, amplified by generic ballot polling showing a Democratic edge and 46 battleground districts where Democrats defend more competitive seats. Redistricting adjustments in several states have modestly bolstered Republican defenses, yet 59 open seats and historical patterns of the president's party losing ground sustain trader expectations of Republican declines. The spread across seat ranges reflects uncertainty over turnout, candidate recruitment, and any late-cycle shifts in the national environment before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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