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icon for トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？
政治·トランプ

トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？

icon for トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？
政治·トランプ

トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？

12月 31, 2027

1月 20, 2029

12月 31, 2027

1月 20, 2029

$1,023,714 Vol.

2026/12/30
3.25%を獲得
Polymarket

$1,023,714 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$1,022,889 Vol.

3%

2027年6月30日

$0 Vol.

47%

2027年12月31日

$825 Vol.

63%

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has blocked recent impeachment resolutions, including the September 15 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s measure on immigration enforcement by a 237-140 vote. Multiple Democratic filings since 2025 have failed to advance under the current narrow GOP majority. Prediction market pricing for House passage before the end of Trump’s term reflects expectations that Democrats could regain the chamber in the November 2026 midterms, enabling action from 2027 onward, while odds for any vote by December 31, 2026 remain near 2 percent. Democratic leaders have stated they have not ruled out using impeachment tools if they gain majority status, though Senate conviction would still require a two-thirds vote. Midterm results and any subsequent House procedural changes represent the primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$1,023,714
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has blocked recent impeachment resolutions, including the September 15 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s measure on immigration enforcement by a 237-140 vote. Multiple Democratic filings since 2025 have failed to advance under the current narrow GOP majority. Prediction market pricing for House passage before the end of Trump’s term reflects expectations that Democrats could regain the chamber in the November 2026 midterms, enabling action from 2027 onward, while odds for any vote by December 31, 2026 remain near 2 percent. Democratic leaders have stated they have not ruled out using impeachment tools if they gain majority status, though Senate conviction would still require a two-thirds vote. Midterm results and any subsequent House procedural changes represent the primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$1,023,714
終了日
2027/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x157Ce2d67...

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年12月31日」で63%、次いで「2027年6月30日」が47%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、63¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に63%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？」は$1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 25, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2027年12月31日」で63%であり、市場がこの結果に63%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2027年6月30日」で47%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は...によって弾劾されるのでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。