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ピート・ヘグセスは6月30日までに弾劾されたのか？

Market icon

ピート・ヘグセスは6月30日までに弾劾されたのか？

はい

7% 確率
Polymarket

$78,127 Vol.

はい

7% 確率
Polymarket

$78,127 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican control of the House makes impeachment of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth by June 30 improbable, driving the 93.5% "No" trader consensus despite recent Democratic efforts. On April 7, Rep. Yassamin Ansari (D-AZ) announced plans to introduce articles of impeachment, accusing Hegseth of war crimes and constitutional violations tied to U.S. strikes on Iranian civilian infrastructure amid escalating military operations. Earlier filings by Rep. Shri Thanedar echoed similar charges, but GOP majorities have blocked prior Democratic pushes. Hegseth, narrowly confirmed in January 2025 via Vice President Vance's tiebreaker, faces ongoing scrutiny over Pentagon leadership changes like the ouster of Army Chief Gen. Randy George, yet party loyalty and lack of bipartisan support sustain high odds against House passage.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$78,127
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican control of the House makes impeachment of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth by June 30 improbable, driving the 93.5% "No" trader consensus despite recent Democratic efforts. On April 7, Rep. Yassamin Ansari (D-AZ) announced plans to introduce articles of impeachment, accusing Hegseth of war crimes and constitutional violations tied to U.S. strikes on Iranian civilian infrastructure amid escalating military operations. Earlier filings by Rep. Shri Thanedar echoed similar charges, but GOP majorities have blocked prior Democratic pushes. Hegseth, narrowly confirmed in January 2025 via Vice President Vance's tiebreaker, faces ongoing scrutiny over Pentagon leadership changes like the ouster of Army Chief Gen. Randy George, yet party loyalty and lack of bipartisan support sustain high odds against House passage.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$78,127
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「ピート・ヘグセスは6月30日までに弾劾されたのか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ピーター・ヘグセットは6月30日までに弾劾されるか？」で7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、7¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に7%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ピート・ヘグセスは6月30日までに弾劾されたのか？」は$78.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ピート・ヘグセスは6月30日までに弾劾されたのか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ピート・ヘグセスは6月30日までに弾劾されたのか？」の現在のリーダーは「ピーター・ヘグセットは6月30日までに弾劾されるか？」でわずか7%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ピート・ヘグセスは6月30日までに弾劾されたのか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。