Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions since late 2025, with a surge of over 70 lawmakers calling for action or 25th Amendment invocation in April 2026 after President Trump's public statements during the Iran conflict. These efforts stalled under Republican House control, but trader consensus at 62% for impeachment before January 2029 reflects expectations that Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms could produce a majority willing to advance articles over executive actions, rhetoric, and policy disputes. Separate Polymarket contracts show low odds for 2026 passage, indicating timing hinges on post-midterm composition rather than current majorities or Senate conviction prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
62% 確率
$89,044 Vol.
$89,044 Vol.
2029/01/20
はい
62% 確率
$89,044 Vol.
$89,044 Vol.
2029/01/20
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions since late 2025, with a surge of over 70 lawmakers calling for action or 25th Amendment invocation in April 2026 after President Trump's public statements during the Iran conflict. These efforts stalled under Republican House control, but trader consensus at 62% for impeachment before January 2029 reflects expectations that Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms could produce a majority willing to advance articles over executive actions, rhetoric, and policy disputes. Separate Polymarket contracts show low odds for 2026 passage, indicating timing hinges on post-midterm composition rather than current majorities or Senate conviction prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$89,044終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions since late 2025, with a surge of over 70 lawmakers calling for action or 25th Amendment invocation in April 2026 after President Trump's public statements during the Iran conflict. These efforts stalled under Republican House control, but trader consensus at 62% for impeachment before January 2029 reflects expectations that Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms could produce a majority willing to advance articles over executive actions, rhetoric, and policy disputes. Separate Polymarket contracts show low odds for 2026 passage, indicating timing hinges on post-midterm composition rather than current majorities or Senate conviction prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$89,044終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions since late 2025, with a surge of over 70 lawmakers calling for action or 25th Amendment invocation in April 2026 after President Trump's public statements during the Iran conflict. These efforts stalled under Republican House control, but trader consensus at 62% for impeachment before January 2029 reflects expectations that Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms could produce a majority willing to advance articles over executive actions, rhetoric, and policy disputes. Separate Polymarket contracts show low odds for 2026 passage, indicating timing hinges on post-midterm composition rather than current majorities or Senate conviction prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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