Iran's institutional transition following the 2026 death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has shaped low posting volume on the @khamenei_ir account, which continues to issue statements attributed to the martyred leader. Historical patterns show infrequent releases—often just a handful per week—prioritizing controlled messaging amid ongoing regional tensions and the new leadership under Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting this established rhythm rather than any surge from recent diplomatic or military developments. Scheduled events or escalations could alter activity, but current evidence points to continuity in restrained official communications.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日<5 65%
5-9 27%
10-14 10%
15-19 2.9%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
<5
65%
5-9
27%
10-14
10%
15-19
3%
20-24
1%
25-29
2%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 65%
5-9 27%
10-14 10%
15-19 2.9%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
<5
$3,648 Vol.
65%
5-9
$1,163 Vol.
27%
10-14
$191 Vol.
10%
15-19
$13 Vol.
3%
20-24
$13 Vol.
1%
25-29
$13 Vol.
2%
30-34
$13 Vol.
2%
35-39
$13 Vol.
1%
40-44
$18 Vol.
1%
45-49
$18 Vol.
1%
50-54
$13 Vol.
1%
55-59
$13 Vol.
1%
60+
$13 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's institutional transition following the 2026 death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has shaped low posting volume on the @khamenei_ir account, which continues to issue statements attributed to the martyred leader. Historical patterns show infrequent releases—often just a handful per week—prioritizing controlled messaging amid ongoing regional tensions and the new leadership under Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting this established rhythm rather than any surge from recent diplomatic or military developments. Scheduled events or escalations could alter activity, but current evidence points to continuity in restrained official communications.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$5,141終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's institutional transition following the 2026 death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has shaped low posting volume on the @khamenei_ir account, which continues to issue statements attributed to the martyred leader. Historical patterns show infrequent releases—often just a handful per week—prioritizing controlled messaging amid ongoing regional tensions and the new leadership under Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting this established rhythm rather than any surge from recent diplomatic or military developments. Scheduled events or escalations could alter activity, but current evidence points to continuity in restrained official communications.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 18, 12:00 PM ET and August 25, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$5,141終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's institutional transition following the 2026 death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has shaped low posting volume on the @khamenei_ir account, which continues to issue statements attributed to the martyred leader. Historical patterns show infrequent releases—often just a handful per week—prioritizing controlled messaging amid ongoing regional tensions and the new leadership under Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts in the August 18-25 window, reflecting this established rhythm rather than any surge from recent diplomatic or military developments. Scheduled events or escalations could alter activity, but current evidence points to continuity in restrained official communications.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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