Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrowly divided House where Republicans maintain a slim majority following the 2024 elections. Internal GOP frustrations have risen in spring 2026 over last-minute deal-making, repeated procedural setbacks, and discharge petitions that bypass leadership. June legislative deadlines on FISA reauthorization, appropriations, and related measures have intensified pressure, highlighted by the recent failure to advance a short-term surveillance extension. Some Republican members have publicly questioned his long-term viability as leader ahead of the 2026 midterms, though no formal challenge has materialized. Trader assessments of removal timing reflect this combination of institutional fragility, caucus dynamics, and the absence of an immediate floor revolt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$103,621 Vol.
2026/06/30
2026年6月30日
4%
2026年12月31日
14%
$103,621 Vol.
2026年6月30日
$7,224 Vol.
4%
2026年12月31日
$3,060 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrowly divided House where Republicans maintain a slim majority following the 2024 elections. Internal GOP frustrations have risen in spring 2026 over last-minute deal-making, repeated procedural setbacks, and discharge petitions that bypass leadership. June legislative deadlines on FISA reauthorization, appropriations, and related measures have intensified pressure, highlighted by the recent failure to advance a short-term surveillance extension. Some Republican members have publicly questioned his long-term viability as leader ahead of the 2026 midterms, though no formal challenge has materialized. Trader assessments of removal timing reflect this combination of institutional fragility, caucus dynamics, and the absence of an immediate floor revolt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
音量
$103,621終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrowly divided House where Republicans maintain a slim majority following the 2024 elections. Internal GOP frustrations have risen in spring 2026 over last-minute deal-making, repeated procedural setbacks, and discharge petitions that bypass leadership. June legislative deadlines on FISA reauthorization, appropriations, and related measures have intensified pressure, highlighted by the recent failure to advance a short-term surveillance extension. Some Republican members have publicly questioned his long-term viability as leader ahead of the 2026 midterms, though no formal challenge has materialized. Trader assessments of removal timing reflect this combination of institutional fragility, caucus dynamics, and the absence of an immediate floor revolt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$103,621終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Speaker Mike Johnson continues to hold the gavel in a narrowly divided House where Republicans maintain a slim majority following the 2024 elections. Internal GOP frustrations have risen in spring 2026 over last-minute deal-making, repeated procedural setbacks, and discharge petitions that bypass leadership. June legislative deadlines on FISA reauthorization, appropriations, and related measures have intensified pressure, highlighted by the recent failure to advance a short-term surveillance extension. Some Republican members have publicly questioned his long-term viability as leader ahead of the 2026 midterms, though no formal challenge has materialized. Trader assessments of removal timing reflect this combination of institutional fragility, caucus dynamics, and the absence of an immediate floor revolt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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