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icon for ネタニヤフは... ？
地政学·中東

ネタニヤフは... ？

icon for ネタニヤフは... ？
地政学·中東

ネタニヤフは... ？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$124,272,460 Vol.

2026/12/31
3.25%を獲得
Polymarket

$124,272,460 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$2,418,891 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu faces a pivotal October 27, 2026, Knesset election that polls show his Likud-led nationalist-religious coalition trailing, with Likud projected to lose roughly one-third of its seats and the bloc falling short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern.** Recent efforts to consolidate right-wing parties, including a September merger involving Religious Zionism, reflect attempts to shore up support amid voter dissatisfaction over the handling of conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, as well as lingering criticism tied to the October 2023 Hamas attacks. Ongoing corruption proceedings and coalition tensions add pressure, while opposition figures such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party have gained in surveys. Traders weigh these electoral dynamics and Netanyahu’s history of coalition-building against the structural barriers to his removal before year-end or early 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$124,272,460
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Netanyahu faces a pivotal October 27, 2026, Knesset election that polls show his Likud-led nationalist-religious coalition trailing, with Likud projected to lose roughly one-third of its seats and the bloc falling short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern.** Recent efforts to consolidate right-wing parties, including a September merger involving Religious Zionism, reflect attempts to shore up support amid voter dissatisfaction over the handling of conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, as well as lingering criticism tied to the October 2023 Hamas attacks. Ongoing corruption proceedings and coalition tensions add pressure, while opposition figures such as Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party have gained in surveys. Traders weigh these electoral dynamics and Netanyahu’s history of coalition-building against the structural barriers to his removal before year-end or early 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$124,272,460
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x157Ce2d67...

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ネタニヤフは... ？」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で54%、次いで「3月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、54¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に54%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ネタニヤフは... ？」は$124.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 24, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ネタニヤフは... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ネタニヤフは... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で54%であり、市場がこの結果に54%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「3月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ネタニヤフは... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。