Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$24,861 Vol.
$24,861 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$24,861 Vol.
$24,861 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$24,861終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$24,861終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 90% chance Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains in office beyond December 31, 2026, reflecting the NDA coalition's Lok Sabha majority of around 293 seats, sufficient to withstand no-confidence votes and secure the government's term through the 2029 general election. Recent defeat of the Constitution (131st Amendment) Bill on April 21—aimed at Lok Sabha expansion and delimitation—marked the first major legislative loss for the Modi government in 12 years, driven by opposition unity over perceived northern state bias, but fell short of threatening stability as it required a two-thirds majority. Opposition predictions like Arvind Kejriwal's March claim of an early exit remain unheeded amid absent snap election signals or coalition fractures, though state assembly polls in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal could test BJP momentum. Late scandals, health events, or ally defections could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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