Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$24,900 Vol.
$24,900 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$24,900 Vol.
$24,900 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$24,900終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$24,905終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects 90% implied probability that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will remain in office through December 31, 2026, driven by the stability of the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition government midway through its Lok Sabha term ending in 2029. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March prediction of Modi's exit, have been dismissed amid AAP setbacks like Rajya Sabha losses, with no credible reports of internal NDA rifts, no-confidence motions, or snap election triggers. Modi's active public engagements, including April addresses on women's empowerment and health initiatives, underscore his vigor at age 75, countering age-related speculation. Absent health crises, scandals, or coalition collapse, structural term limits and historical incumbent continuity anchor the high "No" odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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