Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, as the next Lok Sabha elections are not scheduled until 2029 and the BJP-led NDA holds a parliamentary majority. Recent developments, including student protests over exam irregularities that prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, have prompted limited cabinet adjustments and policy responses but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership. Opposition calls for his departure and circulating claims of resignation have been officially refuted, while scheduled state assembly elections and internal party matters do not align with any near-term exit. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end accordingly, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, electoral pressure, or institutional moves that would force a change before the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
6% 確率
$251,083 Vol.
$251,083 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, as the next Lok Sabha elections are not scheduled until 2029 and the BJP-led NDA holds a parliamentary majority. Recent developments, including student protests over exam irregularities that prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, have prompted limited cabinet adjustments and policy responses but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership. Opposition calls for his departure and circulating claims of resignation have been officially refuted, while scheduled state assembly elections and internal party matters do not align with any near-term exit. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end accordingly, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, electoral pressure, or institutional moves that would force a change before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
音量
$251,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, as the next Lok Sabha elections are not scheduled until 2029 and the BJP-led NDA holds a parliamentary majority. Recent developments, including student protests over exam irregularities that prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, have prompted limited cabinet adjustments and policy responses but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership. Opposition calls for his departure and circulating claims of resignation have been officially refuted, while scheduled state assembly elections and internal party matters do not align with any near-term exit. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end accordingly, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, electoral pressure, or institutional moves that would force a change before the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$251,083終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, as the next Lok Sabha elections are not scheduled until 2029 and the BJP-led NDA holds a parliamentary majority. Recent developments, including student protests over exam irregularities that prompted the July 2026 resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, have prompted limited cabinet adjustments and policy responses but produced no broader challenge to Modi’s leadership. Opposition calls for his departure and circulating claims of resignation have been officially refuted, while scheduled state assembly elections and internal party matters do not align with any near-term exit. Traders price the low probability of departure by year-end accordingly, reflecting the absence of constitutional triggers, electoral pressure, or institutional moves that would force a change before the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問