Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,548 Vol.
96%
共和党
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$13,152終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$13,152終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered overwhelming Democratic majorities in federal elections, with the last Republican Senate victory occurring in 2010. Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey, seeking a third term, maintains double-digit leads over primary challengers including Seth Moulton in recent polling averages around 42-43 percent to 31-32 percent. General election matchups against likely Republican nominee John Deaton show the Democratic candidate ahead by 20 points or more. These patterns reflect the state's partisan composition, established voter turnout dynamics, and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. A major shift would require an unprecedented primary upset or national political realignment altering state-level fundamentals before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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