Massachusetts maintains a strong Democratic tilt in federal elections, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 Senate contest as safe or solid for the party and in the absence of a Republican victory since 2010. Incumbent Edward Markey seeks a third term while leading a Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, with general-election polling showing the eventual Democratic nominee holding double-digit advantages over prospective Republican challengers such as John Deaton. These structural factors and consistent statewide voting patterns account for the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major primary surprise, an unanticipated national political realignment, or late-breaking developments affecting turnout or candidate viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$13,152 Vol.
$13,152 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,548 Vol.
96%
共和党
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts maintains a strong Democratic tilt in federal elections, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 Senate contest as safe or solid for the party and in the absence of a Republican victory since 2010. Incumbent Edward Markey seeks a third term while leading a Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, with general-election polling showing the eventual Democratic nominee holding double-digit advantages over prospective Republican challengers such as John Deaton. These structural factors and consistent statewide voting patterns account for the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major primary surprise, an unanticipated national political realignment, or late-breaking developments affecting turnout or candidate viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$13,152終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts maintains a strong Democratic tilt in federal elections, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 Senate contest as safe or solid for the party and in the absence of a Republican victory since 2010. Incumbent Edward Markey seeks a third term while leading a Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, with general-election polling showing the eventual Democratic nominee holding double-digit advantages over prospective Republican challengers such as John Deaton. These structural factors and consistent statewide voting patterns account for the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major primary surprise, an unanticipated national political realignment, or late-breaking developments affecting turnout or candidate viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$13,152終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts maintains a strong Democratic tilt in federal elections, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the 2026 Senate contest as safe or solid for the party and in the absence of a Republican victory since 2010. Incumbent Edward Markey seeks a third term while leading a Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, with general-election polling showing the eventual Democratic nominee holding double-digit advantages over prospective Republican challengers such as John Deaton. These structural factors and consistent statewide voting patterns account for the current trader consensus. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a major primary surprise, an unanticipated national political realignment, or late-breaking developments affecting turnout or candidate viability ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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