Ed Markey’s commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s deep Democratic tilt, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 25-point 2024 presidential margin and consistent polling showing the incumbent leading Republican John Deaton by roughly 20 points in recent surveys. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Markey secured his party’s nomination in the September 1 primary despite a challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Deaton, who lost to Senator Elizabeth Warren in 2024, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments for the 80-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift within the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2026/11/02
エド・マーキー（民主党）
97%
ジョン・ディートン（共和党）
2%
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2026/11/02
エド・マーキー（民主党）
$35,054 Vol.
97%
ジョン・ディートン（共和党）
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ed Markey’s commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s deep Democratic tilt, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 25-point 2024 presidential margin and consistent polling showing the incumbent leading Republican John Deaton by roughly 20 points in recent surveys. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Markey secured his party’s nomination in the September 1 primary despite a challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Deaton, who lost to Senator Elizabeth Warren in 2024, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments for the 80-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift within the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$48,024終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ed Markey’s commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s deep Democratic tilt, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 25-point 2024 presidential margin and consistent polling showing the incumbent leading Republican John Deaton by roughly 20 points in recent surveys. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Markey secured his party’s nomination in the September 1 primary despite a challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Deaton, who lost to Senator Elizabeth Warren in 2024, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments for the 80-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift within the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$48,024終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ed Markey’s commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race stems from the state’s deep Democratic tilt, reinforced by Kamala Harris’s 25-point 2024 presidential margin and consistent polling showing the incumbent leading Republican John Deaton by roughly 20 points in recent surveys. As a two-term senator seeking a third term, Markey secured his party’s nomination in the September 1 primary despite a challenge from Representative Seth Moulton, clearing the path for the general election on November 3. Deaton, who lost to Senator Elizabeth Warren in 2024, faces structural barriers in a state where Democratic candidates routinely win by wide margins. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these fundamentals. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late-breaking scandals, health developments for the 80-year-old incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift within the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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