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icon for Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者
世界·カナダ

Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者

icon for Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者
世界·カナダ

Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者

マリー＝クロード・サラザン 44%

エリック・ジラール 43%

ジュリー・トゥランジョー 27%

マリー＝ノエル・オーベルタン 25%

Polymarket
新規

マリー＝クロード・サラザン 44%

エリック・ジラール 43%

ジュリー・トゥランジョー 27%

マリー＝ノエル・オーベルタン 25%

Polymarket
新規
icon for マリー＝クロード・サラザン

マリー＝クロード・サラザン

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for エリック・ジラール

エリック・ジラール

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for ジュリー・トゥランジョー

ジュリー・トゥランジョー

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for マリー＝ノエル・オーベルタン

マリー＝ノエル・オーベルタン

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 has turned Groulx into a toss-up between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and Finance Minister Eric Girard and Parti Québécois challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with projections from models such as 338Canada showing near-even odds and slight PQ edges in recent polling averages. Sarrazin’s late-August nomination as a former Gallant commission prosecutor has sharpened the contest by emphasizing fiscal accountability critiques of the CAQ government. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and Québec solidaire’s Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail as lower-probability options amid a provincial environment where nationalist and opposition sentiment is fragmenting the suburban Montreal riding’s electorate. Trader consensus prices reflect this balance, with outcomes hinging on turnout among francophone voters and any late shifts in party standings before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 has turned Groulx into a toss-up between incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and Finance Minister Eric Girard and Parti Québécois challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with projections from models such as 338Canada showing near-even odds and slight PQ edges in recent polling averages. Sarrazin’s late-August nomination as a former Gallant commission prosecutor has sharpened the contest by emphasizing fiscal accountability critiques of the CAQ government. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and Québec solidaire’s Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail as lower-probability options amid a provincial environment where nationalist and opposition sentiment is fragmenting the suburban Montreal riding’s electorate. Trader consensus prices reflect this balance, with outcomes hinging on turnout among francophone voters and any late shifts in party standings before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マリー＝クロード・サラザン」で44%、次いで「エリック・ジラール」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、44¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に44%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マリー＝クロード・サラザン」で44%であり、市場がこの結果に44%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エリック・ジラール」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Groulxケベック州議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。