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世界·カナダ

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·カナダ

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Guillaume Langlois 44%

Donald Martel 43%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
新規

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Guillaume Langlois 44%

Donald Martel 43%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader consensus reflects a highly competitive three-way contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. Incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, with recent projections showing these parties clustered in the high 20s percent range on popular vote estimates. Late-August modeling from aggregators indicates each holds roughly comparable odds of victory in a toss-up environment, driven by provincial trends fragmenting support away from the governing CAQ in Centre-du-Québec. The Liberal candidate trails notably. Late-campaign developments such as regional turnout patterns, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial polling could widen gaps among the leaders before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader consensus reflects a highly competitive three-way contest ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. Incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, with recent projections showing these parties clustered in the high 20s percent range on popular vote estimates. Late-August modeling from aggregators indicates each holds roughly comparable odds of victory in a toss-up environment, driven by provincial trends fragmenting support away from the governing CAQ in Centre-du-Québec. The Liberal candidate trails notably. Late-campaign developments such as regional turnout patterns, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial polling could widen gaps among the leaders before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jérôme Gagnon」で45%、次いで「Guillaume Langlois」が44%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jérôme Gagnon」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Guillaume Langlois」で44%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。