Skip to main content
icon for Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者

icon for Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ 29%

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ 22%

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ 17%

アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ 15%

Polymarket
新規

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ 29%

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ 22%

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ 17%

アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ 15%

Polymarket
新規
icon for タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ

$0 Vol.

22%

icon for セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ

$0 Vol.

17%

icon for アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ

アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ

シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ

$0 Vol.

9%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$60 Vol.

7%

icon for パテア・タヴェウヴェウ・タアマレトア・アイポヴィ・パテア

パテア・タヴェウヴェウ・タアマレトア・アイポヴィ・パテア

$80 Vol.

7%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The court ruling in March 2026 that voided incumbent Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s Falealili 1 seat over an electoral bribery finding created the vacancy and opened a fragmented field for the by-election. Multiple candidates, including Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko (the 2025 petitioner), and others backed by FAST, HRPP, or running independently, compete without a dominant frontrunner, as reflected in the closely matched trader-implied probabilities. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the absence of a single endorsed standard-bearer keep the outcome uncertain. Scheduled writ issuance, final candidate lists, and campaign developments could shift support and widen gaps among contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$140
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The court ruling in March 2026 that voided incumbent Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo’s Falealili 1 seat over an electoral bribery finding created the vacancy and opened a fragmented field for the by-election. Multiple candidates, including Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu, Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko (the 2025 petitioner), and others backed by FAST, HRPP, or running independently, compete without a dominant frontrunner, as reflected in the closely matched trader-implied probabilities. Local constituency dynamics, party nomination processes, and the absence of a single endorsed standard-bearer keep the outcome uncertain. Scheduled writ issuance, final candidate lists, and campaign developments could shift support and widen gaps among contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$140
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

関連

icon for ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイアはヴァイマウガ3補欠選挙で勝つでしょうか？

ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイアはヴァイマウガ3補欠選挙で勝つでしょうか？

44%
はい
icon for イワール・マグラスは次のムルカ補欠選挙で勝利しますか？

イワール・マグラスは次のムルカ補欠選挙で勝利しますか？

93%
はい
icon for ダニエル・ゴベイユは2026年のシクーティミ＝ル・フィヨルド補欠選挙で勝利しますか？

ダニエル・ゴベイユは2026年のシクーティミ＝ル・フィヨルド補欠選挙で勝利しますか？

73%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ」で29%、次いで「トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、29¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に29%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ」で29%であり、市場がこの結果に29%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。