Recent polling averages position New Zealand First ahead of the Green Party for third place in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, with both minor parties polling in the 10-12% range while Labour and National lead in the high 20s to low 30s. NZ First has held or slightly expanded this edge in multiple surveys over the past month, including the latest Reid Research results, reflecting sustained support under current coalition dynamics. The Green Party remains competitive but trails consistently in aggregated data. ACT, National, Te Pāti Māori, and Labour show minimal probability of finishing third given their established vote levels, with the Opportunities Party emerging as a potential spoiler but not yet altering the top minor-party ordering. Trader consensus aligns with these trends in the multi-party MMP system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.1%
National Party 1.7%
$13,696 Vol.
$13,696 Vol.
2026/11/06
New Zealand First Party
62%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 62%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 2.1%
National Party 1.7%
$13,696 Vol.
$13,696 Vol.
2026/11/06
New Zealand First Party
$5,130 Vol.
62%
Green Party
$5,603 Vol.
37%
ACT New Zealand
$709 Vol.
2%
National Party
$415 Vol.
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages position New Zealand First ahead of the Green Party for third place in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, with both minor parties polling in the 10-12% range while Labour and National lead in the high 20s to low 30s. NZ First has held or slightly expanded this edge in multiple surveys over the past month, including the latest Reid Research results, reflecting sustained support under current coalition dynamics. The Green Party remains competitive but trails consistently in aggregated data. ACT, National, Te Pāti Māori, and Labour show minimal probability of finishing third given their established vote levels, with the Opportunities Party emerging as a potential spoiler but not yet altering the top minor-party ordering. Trader consensus aligns with these trends in the multi-party MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$13,696終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages position New Zealand First ahead of the Green Party for third place in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, with both minor parties polling in the 10-12% range while Labour and National lead in the high 20s to low 30s. NZ First has held or slightly expanded this edge in multiple surveys over the past month, including the latest Reid Research results, reflecting sustained support under current coalition dynamics. The Green Party remains competitive but trails consistently in aggregated data. ACT, National, Te Pāti Māori, and Labour show minimal probability of finishing third given their established vote levels, with the Opportunities Party emerging as a potential spoiler but not yet altering the top minor-party ordering. Trader consensus aligns with these trends in the multi-party MMP system.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
音量
$13,696終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position New Zealand First ahead of the Green Party for third place in party vote share ahead of the November 7 election, with both minor parties polling in the 10-12% range while Labour and National lead in the high 20s to low 30s. NZ First has held or slightly expanded this edge in multiple surveys over the past month, including the latest Reid Research results, reflecting sustained support under current coalition dynamics. The Green Party remains competitive but trails consistently in aggregated data. ACT, National, Te Pāti Māori, and Labour show minimal probability of finishing third given their established vote levels, with the Opportunities Party emerging as a potential spoiler but not yet altering the top minor-party ordering. Trader consensus aligns with these trends in the multi-party MMP system.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日関連
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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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