Recent polling shows the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November remains closely contested between National and Labour for first and second place under the MMP system, with both parties hovering near 30 percent amid declining support for the two largest blocs overall. National’s internal leadership tensions and the governing coalition’s sliding re-election odds have not produced consistent gains for Labour, while rising support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party, New Zealand First, and the Greens fragments the vote and complicates bloc calculations. Traders price National slightly ahead for second place as the race stays within a narrow band, with further shifts in approval ratings, campaign spending, or late undecided voter movement likely to determine the final order before election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 52%
Labour Party 43%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,404 Vol.
$18,404 Vol.
2026/11/06
National Party
52%
Labour Party
43%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Green Party
<1%
National Party 52%
Labour Party 43%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,404 Vol.
$18,404 Vol.
2026/11/06
National Party
$9,009 Vol.
52%
Labour Party
$5,028 Vol.
43%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,322 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
Green Party
$542 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling shows the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November remains closely contested between National and Labour for first and second place under the MMP system, with both parties hovering near 30 percent amid declining support for the two largest blocs overall. National’s internal leadership tensions and the governing coalition’s sliding re-election odds have not produced consistent gains for Labour, while rising support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party, New Zealand First, and the Greens fragments the vote and complicates bloc calculations. Traders price National slightly ahead for second place as the race stays within a narrow band, with further shifts in approval ratings, campaign spending, or late undecided voter movement likely to determine the final order before election night.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
音量
$18,404終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling shows the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November remains closely contested between National and Labour for first and second place under the MMP system, with both parties hovering near 30 percent amid declining support for the two largest blocs overall. National’s internal leadership tensions and the governing coalition’s sliding re-election odds have not produced consistent gains for Labour, while rising support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party, New Zealand First, and the Greens fragments the vote and complicates bloc calculations. Traders price National slightly ahead for second place as the race stays within a narrow band, with further shifts in approval ratings, campaign spending, or late undecided voter movement likely to determine the final order before election night.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
音量
$18,404終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the 2026 New Zealand general election on 7 November remains closely contested between National and Labour for first and second place under the MMP system, with both parties hovering near 30 percent amid declining support for the two largest blocs overall. National’s internal leadership tensions and the governing coalition’s sliding re-election odds have not produced consistent gains for Labour, while rising support for minor parties including the Opportunity Party, New Zealand First, and the Greens fragments the vote and complicates bloc calculations. Traders price National slightly ahead for second place as the race stays within a narrow band, with further shifts in approval ratings, campaign spending, or late undecided voter movement likely to determine the final order before election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日関連
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
62%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
57%
Labour
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