Trump’s approval rating has hovered in the mid-to-high 30s across recent national polls, with averages near 37–40% as of late August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction—particularly on inflation, cost of living, and gasoline prices tied to the ongoing Iran conflict—continues to weigh on public sentiment, while handling of foreign policy and border security has also turned net negative in multiple trackers. Recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, and others show disapproval in the high 50s to low 60s, with little movement in the final week before the September 4 measurement date. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.4 range, reflecting this stable but low baseline and the absence of major positive catalysts that could shift the next reported figure outside the narrow band around 38%.