Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日37.0〜37.4 44%
37.5〜37.9 44%
38.0〜38.4 44%
38.5〜38.9 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
37.0未満
15%
37.0〜37.4
44%
37.5〜37.9
44%
38.0〜38.4
44%
38.5〜38.9
44%
39.0以上
42%
37.0〜37.4 44%
37.5〜37.9 44%
38.0〜38.4 44%
38.5〜38.9 44%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
37.0未満
$0 Vol.
15%
37.0〜37.4
$0 Vol.
44%
37.5〜37.9
$0 Vol.
44%
38.0〜38.4
$0 Vol.
44%
38.5〜38.9
$0 Vol.
44%
39.0以上
$10 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
音量
$10終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$10終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with individual surveys ranging from 33% (Reuters/Ipsos) to 39% (Ballotpedia, RCP) as of mid-August 2026. Persistent economic dissatisfaction, especially on inflation and trade, combined with prolonged U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict and associated energy-price pressures, has weighed on ratings and produced the tight clustering of probabilities across the 37–39 ranges. Short remaining window until August 28 limits scope for major movement, while weekly poll variance and stable Republican support amid independent erosion keep outcomes closely bunched. Fresh economic data releases, visible Iran developments, or high-profile administration actions could shift the final reading enough to separate the leading intervals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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