Trader consensus prices a 61% draw probability for Fabiano Caruana versus Javokhir Sindarov in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 11, reflecting Sindarov's commanding 8/10 tournament lead after his daring piece sacrifice victory over Praggnanandhaa in Round 10—his record sixth win and sole result that day—while Caruana drew Wei Yi to stay at 5 points. Caruana, with white and a 2795 Elo edge, holds 24% implied odds amid his inconsistent form, including a Round 4 loss to Sindarov, recent defeats to Giri and Nakamura, and a need for points in the double round-robin classical format. Sindarov's 17.5% as black underscores his unbeaten streak but acknowledges the leader's likely solid defense post-rest day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a 61% draw probability for Fabiano Caruana versus Javokhir Sindarov in FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 11, reflecting Sindarov's commanding 8/10 tournament lead after his daring piece sacrifice victory over Praggnanandhaa in Round 10—his record sixth win and sole result that day—while Caruana drew Wei Yi to stay at 5 points. Caruana, with white and a 2795 Elo edge, holds 24% implied odds amid his inconsistent form, including a Round 4 loss to Sindarov, recent defeats to Giri and Nakamura, and a need for points in the double round-robin classical format. Sindarov's 17.5% as black underscores his unbeaten streak but acknowledges the leader's likely solid defense post-rest day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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