Trader consensus prices all outcomes—Bluebaum win, draw, Caruana win—at even 50% implied probabilities for Round 12 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting a razor-thin edge in this classical chess showdown after 11 rounds. Caruana, third with 5 points following his Round 11 victory over Wei Yi, seeks to close the 3-point gap to leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/11, while Bluebaum sits sixth at 4.5 points on draws against Esipenko and others, showcasing his ultra-solid style that has yielded just one loss (to Caruana in Round 5's Petroff Defence checkmate). Bluebaum's white pieces offer revenge potential in the double round-robin format, but Caruana's superior rating (2795 vs. 2698) and aggressive prep keep win chances balanced amid late-tournament fatigue and draw tendencies among grandmasters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices all outcomes—Bluebaum win, draw, Caruana win—at even 50% implied probabilities for Round 12 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting a razor-thin edge in this classical chess showdown after 11 rounds. Caruana, third with 5 points following his Round 11 victory over Wei Yi, seeks to close the 3-point gap to leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/11, while Bluebaum sits sixth at 4.5 points on draws against Esipenko and others, showcasing his ultra-solid style that has yielded just one loss (to Caruana in Round 5's Petroff Defence checkmate). Bluebaum's white pieces offer revenge potential in the double round-robin format, but Caruana's superior rating (2795 vs. 2698) and aggressive prep keep win chances balanced amid late-tournament fatigue and draw tendencies among grandmasters.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If Fabiano Caruana wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices all outcomes—Bluebaum win, draw, Caruana win—at even 50% implied probabilities for Round 12 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting a razor-thin edge in this classical chess showdown after 11 rounds. Caruana, third with 5 points following his Round 11 victory over Wei Yi, seeks to close the 3-point gap to leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/11, while Bluebaum sits sixth at 4.5 points on draws against Esipenko and others, showcasing his ultra-solid style that has yielded just one loss (to Caruana in Round 5's Petroff Defence checkmate). Bluebaum's white pieces offer revenge potential in the double round-robin format, but Caruana's superior rating (2795 vs. 2698) and aggressive prep keep win chances balanced amid late-tournament fatigue and draw tendencies among grandmasters.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 12, 2026
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Matthias Bluebaum wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 10, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 10, 2026, 10:01 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices all outcomes—Bluebaum win, draw, Caruana win—at even 50% implied probabilities for Round 12 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting a razor-thin edge in this classical chess showdown after 11 rounds. Caruana, third with 5 points following his Round 11 victory over Wei Yi, seeks to close the 3-point gap to leader Javokhir Sindarov's 8/11, while Bluebaum sits sixth at 4.5 points on draws against Esipenko and others, showcasing his ultra-solid style that has yielded just one loss (to Caruana in Round 5's Petroff Defence checkmate). Bluebaum's white pieces offer revenge potential in the double round-robin format, but Caruana's superior rating (2795 vs. 2698) and aggressive prep keep win chances balanced amid late-tournament fatigue and draw tendencies among grandmasters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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