WTI crude oil futures hover near $96 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz that have tightened global supply chains and driven a 2% weekly gain as of April 27, 2026. Recent EIA data showed U.S. inventories rising 1.925 million barrels for the week ended April 17—exceeding expectations for a draw—exerting downward pressure, while OPEC+ plans a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike starting May to unwind voluntary cuts gradually. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects elevated implied probabilities for elevated end-June settlement above key thresholds, balancing supply risks against softening demand signals from China and potential U.S. recession fears. Watch weekly EIA reports and June's onset of driving season for volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日原油（ CL ）は6月末の___を上回っていますか？
原油（ CL ）は6月末の___を上回っていますか？
$93,497 Vol.
2026/06/30
90ドル
53%
$85
65%
80ドル
64%
75ドル
76%
70ドル
78%
$65
87%
$63
91%
60ドル
92%
$56
92%
$55
97%
$52
94%
50ドル
97%
$93,497 Vol.
90ドル
$22,329 Vol.
53%
$85
$4,911 Vol.
65%
80ドル
$5,347 Vol.
64%
75ドル
$3,906 Vol.
76%
70ドル
$19,183 Vol.
78%
$65
$715 Vol.
87%
$63
$8,828 Vol.
91%
60ドル
$12,760 Vol.
92%
$56
$3,487 Vol.
92%
$55
$2,621 Vol.
97%
$52
$2,994 Vol.
94%
50ドル
$6,415 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures hover near $96 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz that have tightened global supply chains and driven a 2% weekly gain as of April 27, 2026. Recent EIA data showed U.S. inventories rising 1.925 million barrels for the week ended April 17—exceeding expectations for a draw—exerting downward pressure, while OPEC+ plans a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike starting May to unwind voluntary cuts gradually. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects elevated implied probabilities for elevated end-June settlement above key thresholds, balancing supply risks against softening demand signals from China and potential U.S. recession fears. Watch weekly EIA reports and June's onset of driving season for volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
音量
$93,497終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.WTI crude oil futures hover near $96 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz that have tightened global supply chains and driven a 2% weekly gain as of April 27, 2026. Recent EIA data showed U.S. inventories rising 1.925 million barrels for the week ended April 17—exceeding expectations for a draw—exerting downward pressure, while OPEC+ plans a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike starting May to unwind voluntary cuts gradually. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects elevated implied probabilities for elevated end-June settlement above key thresholds, balancing supply risks against softening demand signals from China and potential U.S. recession fears. Watch weekly EIA reports and June's onset of driving season for volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$93,497終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWTI crude oil futures hover near $96 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions, particularly disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz that have tightened global supply chains and driven a 2% weekly gain as of April 27, 2026. Recent EIA data showed U.S. inventories rising 1.925 million barrels for the week ended April 17—exceeding expectations for a draw—exerting downward pressure, while OPEC+ plans a modest 206,000 barrels per day output hike starting May to unwind voluntary cuts gradually. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects elevated implied probabilities for elevated end-June settlement above key thresholds, balancing supply risks against softening demand signals from China and potential U.S. recession fears. Watch weekly EIA reports and June's onset of driving season for volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問