Skip to main content
icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 99.5%

Other <1%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro <1%

Polymarket

$193,497 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 99.5%

Other <1%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro <1%

Polymarket

$193,497 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia

$16,271 Vol.

No

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$49,464 Vol.

Yes

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro

$43,025 Vol.

No

Other

$12,327 Vol.

No

1st Round Outright Winner

$72,410 Vol.

No

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro advanced to Colombia’s June 21 runoff after the May 31 first round produced no outright winner.** Official results certified on June 4 gave de la Espriella 43.7% and Cepeda 40.9%, with the pair capturing over 84% of valid votes amid record turnout. International observers described the vote as orderly, and Cepeda accepted the outcome on June 7 despite earlier fraud claims by President Petro. Right-wing consolidation behind de la Espriella, including endorsements from figures such as Álvaro Uribe and Paloma Valencia, reinforced the outcome. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified result; only an unprecedented legal reversal or recount altering certified tallies could reopen the question of who reached the second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$193,497
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro advanced to Colombia’s June 21 runoff after the May 31 first round produced no outright winner.** Official results certified on June 4 gave de la Espriella 43.7% and Cepeda 40.9%, with the pair capturing over 84% of valid votes amid record turnout. International observers described the vote as orderly, and Cepeda accepted the outcome on June 7 despite earlier fraud claims by President Petro. Right-wing consolidation behind de la Espriella, including endorsements from figures such as Álvaro Uribe and Paloma Valencia, reinforced the outcome. The near-certain market pricing reflects this verified result; only an unprecedented legal reversal or recount altering certified tallies could reopen the question of who reached the second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$193,497
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro」で100%、次いで「Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?」は$193.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。