Discord's platform stability over the past two weeks has edged trader consensus toward "No" at 52% implied probability for a critical incident—defined as a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting services for over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor voice connection glitches in early March resolved quickly without escalation, bolstering confidence in Discord's upgraded infrastructure and proactive monitoring via its status page. However, historical patterns of DDoS attacks and server overloads during peak gaming hours keep "Yes" viable at 48%, reflecting cybersecurity risks in a platform serving 200 million monthly users. Traders eye end-of-month traffic spikes from events like gaming releases or the status page for catalysts that could swing odds decisively before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's platform stability over the past two weeks has edged trader consensus toward "No" at 52% implied probability for a critical incident—defined as a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting services for over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor voice connection glitches in early March resolved quickly without escalation, bolstering confidence in Discord's upgraded infrastructure and proactive monitoring via its status page. However, historical patterns of DDoS attacks and server overloads during peak gaming hours keep "Yes" viable at 48%, reflecting cybersecurity risks in a platform serving 200 million monthly users. Traders eye end-of-month traffic spikes from events like gaming releases or the status page for catalysts that could swing odds decisively before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
マーケット開始日： Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Discord's platform stability over the past two weeks has edged trader consensus toward "No" at 52% implied probability for a critical incident—defined as a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting services for over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor voice connection glitches in early March resolved quickly without escalation, bolstering confidence in Discord's upgraded infrastructure and proactive monitoring via its status page. However, historical patterns of DDoS attacks and server overloads during peak gaming hours keep "Yes" viable at 48%, reflecting cybersecurity risks in a platform serving 200 million monthly users. Traders eye end-of-month traffic spikes from events like gaming releases or the status page for catalysts that could swing odds decisively before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
音量
$0終了日
Apr 30, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Discord's platform stability over the past two weeks has edged trader consensus toward "No" at 52% implied probability for a critical incident—defined as a widespread outage, data breach, or exploit disrupting services for over 50% of users—by April 30. Minor voice connection glitches in early March resolved quickly without escalation, bolstering confidence in Discord's upgraded infrastructure and proactive monitoring via its status page. However, historical patterns of DDoS attacks and server overloads during peak gaming hours keep "Yes" viable at 48%, reflecting cybersecurity risks in a platform serving 200 million monthly users. Traders eye end-of-month traffic spikes from events like gaming releases or the status page for catalysts that could swing odds decisively before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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