**Widow’s Bay** has surged to a 61% implied probability as the frontrunner for Outstanding Comedy Series, driven by its breakout status as a late-April Apple TV horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations—including writing, directing, and multiple acting nods—on the strength of critical acclaim, word-of-mouth buzz, and standout performances from Matthew Rhys and the ensemble. Its fresh tonal blend and timing captured voter attention ahead of final-round voting. **Hacks** sits at 36.4% as the five-time nominee and record 24-nomination final-season favorite with Jean Smart’s established legacy, yet recent Gold Derby shifts and industry narrative have narrowed its lead amid competition from the buzzy newcomer. Lower-probability contenders like **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Shrinking** lack comparable recent momentum or nomination volume to challenge the top two. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the key resolution point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日エミー2026 :傑出したコメディシリーズ
「Widow’s Bay」 61%
「Hacks」 36.1%
アボット・エレメンタリー 1.1%
「ザ・ベア」 <1%
$77,305 Vol.
$77,305 Vol.
「Widow’s Bay」
61%
「Hacks」
36%
アボット・エレメンタリー
1%
「ザ・ベア」
1%
「シュリンキング」
1%
Margo’s Got Money Troubles
<1%
「Nobody Wants This」
<1%
オンリー・マーダーズ・イン・ザ・ビルディング
<1%
「Widow’s Bay」 61%
「Hacks」 36.1%
アボット・エレメンタリー 1.1%
「ザ・ベア」 <1%
$77,305 Vol.
$77,305 Vol.
「Widow’s Bay」
61%
「Hacks」
36%
アボット・エレメンタリー
1%
「ザ・ベア」
1%
「シュリンキング」
1%
Margo’s Got Money Troubles
<1%
「Nobody Wants This」
<1%
オンリー・マーダーズ・イン・ザ・ビルディング
<1%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jul 10, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Widow’s Bay** has surged to a 61% implied probability as the frontrunner for Outstanding Comedy Series, driven by its breakout status as a late-April Apple TV horror-comedy that earned 19 nominations—including writing, directing, and multiple acting nods—on the strength of critical acclaim, word-of-mouth buzz, and standout performances from Matthew Rhys and the ensemble. Its fresh tonal blend and timing captured voter attention ahead of final-round voting. **Hacks** sits at 36.4% as the five-time nominee and record 24-nomination final-season favorite with Jean Smart’s established legacy, yet recent Gold Derby shifts and industry narrative have narrowed its lead amid competition from the buzzy newcomer. Lower-probability contenders like **Abbott Elementary**, **The Bear**, and **Shrinking** lack comparable recent momentum or nomination volume to challenge the top two. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the key resolution point.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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